TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane JOAQUIN

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 1 Oct, 2015 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane JOAQUIN (AL11) currently located near 23.8 N 73.1 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 93 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 93 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 93 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane JOAQUIN

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2015 21:00 GMT

Hurricane JOAQUIN (AL11) currently located near 24.3 N 73.1 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 93 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 93 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 93 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 93 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane JOAQUIN

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2015 15:00 GMT

Hurricane JOAQUIN (AL11) currently located near 24.7 N 72.6 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 93 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 117 hours
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 117 hours
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 117 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 117 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm JOAQUIN

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2015 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm JOAQUIN (AL11) currently located near 25.4 N 72.5 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm JOAQUIN

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2015 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm JOAQUIN (AL11) currently located near 25.8 N 71.7 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm JOAQUIN

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2015 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm JOAQUIN (AL11) currently located near 26.0 N 71.0 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MARTY

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2015 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MARTY (17E) currently located near 16.3 N 101.2 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Acapulco (17.0 N, 99.9 W)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MARTY

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2015 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MARTY (17E) currently located near 16.2 N 101.6 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MARTY

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2015 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MARTY (17E) currently located near 16.4 N 101.7 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 80% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon DUJUAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2015 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Typhoon DUJUAN (21W) currently located near 25.0 N 119.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for TS is 65% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane MARTY

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2015 21:00 GMT

Hurricane MARTY (17E) currently located near 16.7 N 102.1 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Playa Azul (18.0 N, 102.4 W)
        probability for TS is 70% within 9 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon DUJUAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2015 18:00 GMT

Typhoon DUJUAN (21W) currently located near 24.3 N 120.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MARTY

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2015 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MARTY (17E) currently located near 16.1 N 103.0 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Playa Azul (18.0 N, 102.4 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon DUJUAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2015 12:00 GMT

Typhoon DUJUAN (21W) currently located near 24.4 N 121.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MARTY

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2015 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MARTY (17E) currently located near 15.6 N 103.0 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon DUJUAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2015 6:00 GMT

Typhoon DUJUAN (21W) currently located near 24.0 N 122.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon DUJUAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2015 0:00 GMT

Typhoon DUJUAN (21W) currently located near 23.3 N 123.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon DUJUAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2015 18:00 GMT

Typhoon DUJUAN (21W) currently located near 23.0 N 124.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MARTY

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2015 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MARTY (17E) currently located near 14.9 N 102.8 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon DUJUAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2015 12:00 GMT

Typhoon DUJUAN (21W) currently located near 22.7 N 125.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon DUJUAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2015 6:00 GMT

Typhoon DUJUAN (21W) currently located near 22.5 N 126.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon DUJUAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2015 0:00 GMT

Typhoon DUJUAN (21W) currently located near 22.2 N 127.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon DUJUAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Sep, 2015 18:00 GMT

Typhoon DUJUAN (21W) currently located near 22.1 N 128.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon DUJUAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Sep, 2015 12:00 GMT

Typhoon DUJUAN (21W) currently located near 21.9 N 128.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon DUJUAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Sep, 2015 6:00 GMT

Typhoon DUJUAN (21W) currently located near 21.4 N 129.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon DUJUAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Sep, 2015 0:00 GMT

Typhoon DUJUAN (21W) currently located near 20.9 N 130.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon DUJUAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Sep, 2015 18:00 GMT

Typhoon DUJUAN (21W) currently located near 20.2 N 131.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon DUJUAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Sep, 2015 12:00 GMT

Typhoon DUJUAN (21W) currently located near 19.8 N 131.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon DUJUAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Sep, 2015 6:00 GMT

Typhoon DUJUAN (21W) currently located near 19.3 N 131.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon DUJUAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Sep, 2015 0:00 GMT

Typhoon DUJUAN (21W) currently located near 19.2 N 132.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.