TSR Storm Alert - Super Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 1 Nov, 2015 0:00 GMT

Super Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA (04A) currently located near 13.6 N 56.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Qalansiyah (12.7 N, 53.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Al Mukalla (15.0 N, 50.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Super Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2015 18:00 GMT

Super Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA (04A) currently located near 13.7 N 57.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Qalansiyah (12.7 N, 53.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Al Mukalla (15.0 N, 50.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Super Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2015 12:00 GMT

Super Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA (04A) currently located near 13.8 N 57.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Qalansiyah (12.7 N, 53.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Al Mukalla (15.0 N, 50.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Super Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2015 6:00 GMT

Super Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA (04A) currently located near 13.9 N 58.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Oman
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Qalansiyah (12.7 N, 53.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Damqawt (16.6 N, 52.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    Al Mukalla (15.0 N, 50.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Super Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2015 0:00 GMT

Super Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA (04A) currently located near 13.9 N 59.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Oman
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Qalansiyah (12.7 N, 53.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Damqawt (16.6 N, 52.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Super Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2015 18:00 GMT

Super Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA (04A) currently located near 13.9 N 60.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Oman
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Qalansiyah (12.7 N, 53.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Damqawt (16.6 N, 52.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Al Mukalla (15.0 N, 50.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Super Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2015 12:00 GMT

Super Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA (04A) currently located near 14.0 N 60.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Oman
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Qalansiyah (12.7 N, 53.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Al Mukalla (15.0 N, 50.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Damqawt (16.6 N, 52.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Super Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2015 6:00 GMT

Super Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA (04A) currently located near 14.2 N 61.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Oman
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Damqawt (16.6 N, 52.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Qalansiyah (12.7 N, 53.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    Al Mukalla (15.0 N, 50.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Salalah (17.0 N, 54.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2015 0:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA (04A) currently located near 14.2 N 61.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Oman
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Damqawt (16.6 N, 52.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Salalah (17.0 N, 54.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Al Mukalla (15.0 N, 50.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
    Qalansiyah (12.7 N, 53.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2015 18:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA (04A) currently located near 14.3 N 62.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Oman
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Salalah (17.0 N, 54.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Damqawt (16.6 N, 52.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Qalansiyah (12.7 N, 53.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Al Mukalla (15.0 N, 50.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2015 12:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA (04A) currently located near 14.2 N 63.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Oman
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Salalah (17.0 N, 54.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Damqawt (16.6 N, 52.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FOUR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2015 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FOUR (04A) currently located near 13.8 N 63.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Oman
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Salalah (17.0 N, 54.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Damqawt (16.6 N, 52.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FOUR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2015 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FOUR (04A) currently located near 13.5 N 64.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Oman
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Salalah (17.0 N, 54.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Damqawt (16.6 N, 52.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Al Mukalla (15.0 N, 50.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
    Qalansiyah (12.7 N, 53.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FOUR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2015 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FOUR (04A) currently located near 13.4 N 64.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Oman
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Salalah (17.0 N, 54.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Damqawt (16.6 N, 52.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Qalansiyah (12.7 N, 53.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Al Mukalla (15.0 N, 50.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 10% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression PATRICIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2015 15:00 GMT

Tropical Depression PATRICIA (20E) currently located near 23.9 N 101.6 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane PATRICIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2015 9:00 GMT

Hurricane PATRICIA (20E) currently located near 22.3 N 103.1 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Zacatecas (22.8 N, 102.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Luis Potosi (22.2 N, 101.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Guadalajara (20.7 N, 103.3 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Queretaro (20.6 N, 100.4 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Playa Azul (18.0 N, 102.4 W)
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane PATRICIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2015 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane PATRICIA (20E) currently located near 20.2 N 104.6 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tomatlan (19.9 N, 105.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tepic (21.5 N, 104.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Manzanillo (19.2 N, 104.3 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Guadalajara (20.7 N, 103.3 W)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Zacatecas (22.8 N, 102.6 W)
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    Tecuala (22.4 N, 105.5 W)
        probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane PATRICIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2015 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane PATRICIA (20E) currently located near 18.9 N 105.2 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tomatlan (19.9 N, 105.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Manzanillo (19.2 N, 104.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tepic (21.5 N, 104.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Guadalajara (20.7 N, 103.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Tecuala (22.4 N, 105.5 W)
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane PATRICIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2015 15:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane PATRICIA (20E) currently located near 17.6 N 105.5 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tomatlan (19.9 N, 105.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Manzanillo (19.2 N, 104.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Tepic (21.5 N, 104.9 W)
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    Guadalajara (20.7 N, 103.3 W)
        probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane PATRICIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2015 9:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane PATRICIA (20E) currently located near 17.0 N 105.5 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tomatlan (19.9 N, 105.2 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Manzanillo (19.2 N, 104.3 W)
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane PATRICIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2015 5:30 GMT

Intense Hurricane PATRICIA (20E) currently located near 16.5 N 105.3 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 19 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 7 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tomatlan (19.9 N, 105.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 19 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 19 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Manzanillo (19.2 N, 104.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 19 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 19 hours
    Tepic (21.5 N, 104.9 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 19 hours
    Guadalajara (20.7 N, 103.3 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 19 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane PATRICIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2015 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane PATRICIA (20E) currently located near 16.2 N 105.1 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tomatlan (19.9 N, 105.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Manzanillo (19.2 N, 104.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Tepic (21.5 N, 104.9 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    Guadalajara (20.7 N, 103.3 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane PATRICIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Oct, 2015 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane PATRICIA (20E) currently located near 15.4 N 104.6 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tomatlan (19.9 N, 105.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Manzanillo (19.2 N, 104.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    Tepic (21.5 N, 104.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    Guadalajara (20.7 N, 103.3 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane PATRICIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Oct, 2015 18:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane PATRICIA (20E) currently located near 15.0 N 104.0 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 18 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tomatlan (19.9 N, 105.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 30 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Manzanillo (19.2 N, 104.3 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 18 hours
    Tepic (21.5 N, 104.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 42 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 30 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane PATRICIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Oct, 2015 9:00 GMT

Hurricane PATRICIA (20E) currently located near 14.3 N 102.3 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Manzanillo (19.2 N, 104.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    Tomatlan (19.9 N, 105.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PATRICIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Oct, 2015 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PATRICIA (20E) currently located near 13.5 N 100.5 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Manzanillo (19.2 N, 104.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
    Tomatlan (19.9 N, 105.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PATRICIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Oct, 2015 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PATRICIA (20E) currently located near 13.1 N 99.5 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Manzanillo (19.2 N, 104.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours
    Tomatlan (19.9 N, 105.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PATRICIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Oct, 2015 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PATRICIA (20E) currently located near 12.9 N 97.5 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Playa Azul (18.0 N, 102.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
    Manzanillo (19.2 N, 104.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PATRICIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Oct, 2015 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PATRICIA (20E) currently located near 13.0 N 96.0 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Manzanillo (19.2 N, 104.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 45 hours
    Playa Azul (18.0 N, 102.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours
    Guadalajara (20.7 N, 103.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 69 hours
    Tepic (21.5 N, 104.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 69 hours
    Tomatlan (19.9 N, 105.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PATRICIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Oct, 2015 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PATRICIA (20E) currently located near 13.1 N 95.3 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Playa Azul (18.0 N, 102.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours
    Guadalajara (20.7 N, 103.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    Manzanillo (19.2 N, 104.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours
    Tomatlan (19.9 N, 105.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement

WEAK53 PAAQ 202159
TIBAK1

PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
259 PM PDT TUE OCT 20 2015

..THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...

EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.

* BASED ON THE DEPTH OF THE EARTHQUAKE A TSUNAMI
IS NOT EXPECTED.

* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.3
* ORIGIN TIME 1352 AKDT OCT 20 2015
1452 PDT OCT 20 2015
2152 UTC OCT 20 2015
* COORDINATES 14.8 SOUTH 167.4 EAST
* DEPTH 73 MILES
* LOCATION VANUATU ISLANDS


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE.

* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
2157 UTC TUE OCT 20 2015

...PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.3
* ORIGIN TIME 2152 UTC OCT 20 2015
* COORDINATES 14.8 SOUTH 167.4 EAST
* DEPTH 117 KM / 73 MILES
* LOCATION VANUATU


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.3 OCCURRED IN
THE VANUATU ISLANDS AT 2152 UTC ON TUESDAY OCTOBER 20 2015.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
BECAUSE THE EARTHQUAKE IS LOCATED TOO DEEP INSIDE THE EARTH.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S. NATIONAL
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KOPPU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Oct, 2015 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KOPPU (24W) currently located near 19.2 N 121.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 75% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression 20E

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Oct, 2015 21:00 GMT

Tropical Depression 20E (20E) currently located near 13.2 N 94.8 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Playa Azul (18.0 N, 102.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Manzanillo (19.2 N, 104.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression 20E

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Oct, 2015 15:00 GMT

Tropical Depression 20E (20E) currently located near 13.3 N 94.4 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 10% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Playa Azul (18.0 N, 102.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KOPPU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Oct, 2015 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KOPPU (24W) currently located near 19.2 N 121.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KOPPU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Oct, 2015 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KOPPU (24W) currently located near 19.1 N 120.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KOPPU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Oct, 2015 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KOPPU (24W) currently located near 19.1 N 120.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.