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Sunday, November 29, 2015

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TUNI

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Nov, 2015 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TUNI (04P) currently located near 16.5 S 170.6 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Alofi (19.0 S, 169.9 W)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Saturday, November 28, 2015

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TUNI

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Nov, 2015 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TUNI (04P) currently located near 15.7 S 171.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Alofi (19.0 S, 169.9 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TUNI

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Nov, 2015 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TUNI (04P) currently located near 14.5 S 173.6 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Alofi (19.0 S, 169.9 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TUNI

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Nov, 2015 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TUNI (04P) currently located near 14.2 S 173.4 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Friday, November 27, 2015

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FOUR

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Nov, 2015 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FOUR (04P) currently located near 13.7 S 174.4 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FOUR

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Nov, 2015 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FOUR (04P) currently located near 13.4 S 174.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane SANDRA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Nov, 2015 21:00 GMT

Hurricane SANDRA (22E) currently located near 20.4 N 108.4 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 55% within 9 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane SANDRA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Nov, 2015 15:00 GMT

Hurricane SANDRA (22E) currently located near 19.6 N 108.4 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 55% within 9 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Tuesday, November 24, 2015

[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement

WEAK53 PAAQ 242255
TIBAK1

PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
255 PM PST TUE NOV 24 2015

..THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...

EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.

* BASED ON THE DEPTH OF THE EARTHQUAKE A TSUNAMI
IS NOT EXPECTED.

* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.9
* ORIGIN TIME 1346 AKST NOV 24 2015
1446 PST NOV 24 2015
2246 UTC NOV 24 2015
* COORDINATES 10.6 SOUTH 71.0 WEST
* DEPTH 368 MILES
* LOCATION PERU-BRAZIL BORDER REGION


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE.

* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
2252 UTC TUE NOV 24 2015

...PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.9
* ORIGIN TIME 2246 UTC NOV 24 2015
* COORDINATES 10.6 SOUTH 71.0 WEST
* DEPTH 592 KM / 368 MILES
* LOCATION PERU-BRAZIL BORDER REGION


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.9 OCCURRED IN
THE PERU-BRAZIL BORDER REGION AT 2246 UTC ON TUESDAY NOVEMBER
24 2015.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S. NATIONAL
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.

$$

Friday, November 20, 2015

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon IN-FA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Nov, 2015 18:00 GMT

Typhoon IN-FA (27W) currently located near 10.9 N 144.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guam
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon IN-FA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Nov, 2015 12:00 GMT

Typhoon IN-FA (27W) currently located near 10.7 N 145.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guam
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon IN-FA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Nov, 2015 6:00 GMT

Typhoon IN-FA (27W) currently located near 10.4 N 147.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guam
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Thursday, November 19, 2015

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon IN-FA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Nov, 2015 0:00 GMT

Typhoon IN-FA (27W) currently located near 9.9 N 148.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guam
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon IN-FA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Nov, 2015 18:00 GMT

Typhoon IN-FA (27W) currently located near 9.8 N 149.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon IN-FA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Nov, 2015 12:00 GMT

Typhoon IN-FA (27W) currently located near 9.1 N 150.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guam
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IN-FA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Nov, 2015 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IN-FA (27W) currently located near 8.7 N 151.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Wednesday, November 18, 2015

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IN-FA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Nov, 2015 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IN-FA (27W) currently located near 7.5 N 152.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IN-FA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Nov, 2015 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IN-FA (27W) currently located near 6.7 N 153.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
1853 UTC WED NOV 18 2015

...PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.0
* ORIGIN TIME 1831 UTC NOV 18 2015
* COORDINATES 9.0 SOUTH 158.5 EAST
* DEPTH 10 KM / 6 MILES
* LOCATION SOLOMON ISLANDS


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.0 OCCURRED IN
THE SOLOMON ISLANDS AT 1831 UTC ON WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 18 2015.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S. NATIONAL
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement

WEAK53 PAAQ 181840
TIBAK1

PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
1040 AM PST WED NOV 18 2015

..THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...

EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.

* BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS
THE EARTHQUAKE WAS NOT SUFFICIENT TO GENERATE A TSUNAMI.

* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.0
* ORIGIN TIME 0931 AKST NOV 18 2015
1031 PST NOV 18 2015
1831 UTC NOV 18 2015
* COORDINATES 8.7 SOUTH 158.7 EAST
* DEPTH 6 MILES
* LOCATION SOLOMON ISLANDS


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE.

* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon IN-FA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Nov, 2015 12:00 GMT

Typhoon IN-FA (27W) currently located near 6.2 N 154.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon IN-FA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Nov, 2015 6:00 GMT

Typhoon IN-FA (27W) currently located near 5.8 N 155.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Tuesday, November 17, 2015

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IN-FA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Nov, 2015 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IN-FA (27W) currently located near 5.6 N 156.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IN-FA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Nov, 2015 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IN-FA (27W) currently located near 5.4 N 158.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Palikir (6.9 N, 158.1 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IN-FA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Nov, 2015 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IN-FA (27W) currently located near 4.7 N 159.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Palikir (6.9 N, 158.1 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TWENTYSEVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Nov, 2015 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TWENTYSEVEN (27W) currently located near 4.1 N 161.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Monday, November 16, 2015

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYSEVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Nov, 2015 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYSEVEN (27W) currently located near 4.5 N 162.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Sunday, November 15, 2015

[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement

WEXX32 PAAQ 160103
TIBATE

PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
903 PM AST SUN NOV 15 2015

..THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR THE U.S. AND CANADA
EAST COASTS/ GULF OF MEXICO STATES/PUERTO RICO/ THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...

EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.

* BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS
THE EARTHQUAKE IS NOT EXPECTED TO GENERATE A TSUNAMI.

* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.0
* ORIGIN TIME 1939 EST NOV 15 2015
2039 AST NOV 15 2015
1839 CST NOV 15 2015
0039 UTC NOV 16 2015
* COORDINATES 17.8 NORTH 81.9 WEST
* DEPTH 6 MILES
* LOCATION CARIBBEAN SEA


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.

* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

* CARIBBEAN COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE PUERTO RICO... U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD REFER TO THE PACIFIC
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

$$

Friday, November 13, 2015

[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement

WEAK53 PAAQ 132100
TIBAK1

PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
100 PM PST FRI NOV 13 2015

..THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...

EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.

* BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS
THE EARTHQUAKE WAS NOT SUFFICIENT TO GENERATE A TSUNAMI.

* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.0
* ORIGIN TIME 1152 AKST NOV 13 2015
1252 PST NOV 13 2015
2052 UTC NOV 13 2015
* COORDINATES 30.9 NORTH 128.7 EAST
* DEPTH 6 MILES
* LOCATION NORTHWEST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE.

* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
2058 UTC FRI NOV 13 2015

...PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS - FROM JMA
--------------------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.0
* ORIGIN TIME 2051 UTC NOV 13 2015
* COORDINATES 30.9 NORTH 128.7 EAST
* DEPTH 10 KM / 6 MILES
* LOCATION NORTHWEST OF THE RYUKYU ISLANDS


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.0 OCCURRED
NORTHWEST OF THE RYUKYU ISLANDS AT 2051 UTC ON FRIDAY NOVEMBER
13 2015.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S. NATIONAL
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.

$$

Thursday, November 12, 2015

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KATE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 12 Nov, 2015 9:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm KATE (AL12) currently located near 40.7 N 50.8 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Azores
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Wednesday, November 11, 2015

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane KATE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 11 Nov, 2015 21:00 GMT

Hurricane KATE (AL12) currently located near 38.2 N 56.4 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Ireland
        probability for TS is 75% in about 93 hours
    Northern Ireland
        probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
    Scotland
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Belmullet (54.2 N, 10.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 93 hours
    Ardara (54.8 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
    Sligo (54.3 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
    Galway (53.3 N, 9.1 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
    Dingle (52.2 N, 10.2 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
    Cork (51.9 N, 8.5 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
    Bantry (51.7 N, 9.4 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane KATE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 11 Nov, 2015 15:00 GMT

Hurricane KATE (AL12) currently located near 36.8 N 60.5 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Ireland
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Belmullet (54.2 N, 10.0 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
    Dingle (52.2 N, 10.2 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
    Galway (53.3 N, 9.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours
    Bantry (51.7 N, 9.4 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Tuesday, November 10, 2015

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI SUPPLEMENT STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 2
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0304 UTC WED NOV 11 2015

...PTWC TSUNAMI SUPPLEMENT STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


NOTE THE REVISED EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE AND DEPTH... AND THE
OBSERVATION OF SMALL TSUNAMI WAVES.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS... UPDATED
--------------------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.9
* ORIGIN TIME 0155 UTC NOV 11 2015
* COORDINATES 29.4 SOUTH 72.3 WEST
* DEPTH 16 KM / 10 MILES
* LOCATION OFF THE COAST OF CENTRAL CHILE


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.9 OCCURRED
OFF THE COAST OF CENTRAL CHILE AT 0155 UTC ON WEDNESDAY
NOVEMBER 11 2015.

* SMALL TSUNAMI WAVES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* PERSONS ALONG COASTAL AREAS NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE SHOULD BE
OBSERVANT AND EXERCISE NORMAL CAUTION. OTHERWISE... NO ACTION
IS REQUIRED.


OBSERVATIONS
------------

* TSUNAMI WAVES WITH A MAXIMUM AMPLITUDE OF 15 CM WERE OBSERVED
AT COQUIMBO... CHILE... AND 10 CM AT HUASCO... CHILE.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
NEW INFORMATION IS RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S. NATIONAL
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement

WEAK53 PAAQ 110203
TIBAK1

PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
603 PM PST TUE NOV 10 2015

..THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...

EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.

* BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS
THE EARTHQUAKE WAS NOT SUFFICIENT TO GENERATE A TSUNAMI.

* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.6
* ORIGIN TIME 1655 AKST NOV 10 2015
1755 PST NOV 10 2015
0155 UTC NOV 11 2015
* COORDINATES 29.4 SOUTH 72.3 WEST
* DEPTH 20 MILES
* LOCATION OFF COAST OF CENTRAL CHILE


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE.

* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0158 UTC WED NOV 11 2015

...PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.6
* ORIGIN TIME 0155 UTC NOV 11 2015
* COORDINATES 29.4 SOUTH 72.3 WEST
* DEPTH 33 KM / 20 MILES
* LOCATION OFF THE COAST OF CENTRAL CHILE


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.6 OCCURRED
OFF THE COAST OF CENTRAL CHILE AT 0155 UTC ON WEDNESDAY
NOVEMBER 11 2015.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S. NATIONAL
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.

$$

Monday, November 9, 2015

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MEGH

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Nov, 2015 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm MEGH (05A) currently located near 13.0 N 45.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Aden (12.8 N, 45.0 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KATE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 9 Nov, 2015 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KATE (AL12) currently located near 25.5 N 76.1 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 90% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MEGH

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Nov, 2015 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MEGH (05A) currently located near 12.8 N 46.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
        probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Irqah (13.7 N, 47.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm MEGH

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Nov, 2015 12:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm MEGH (05A) currently located near 12.4 N 48.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Somalia
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Irqah (13.7 N, 47.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Aden (12.8 N, 45.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KATE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 9 Nov, 2015 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KATE (AL12) currently located near 24.5 N 75.3 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 90% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL12

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 9 Nov, 2015 9:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL12 (AL12) currently located near 23.6 N 74.6 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm MEGH

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Nov, 2015 6:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm MEGH (05A) currently located near 12.3 N 49.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Somalia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 75% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Boosaaso (11.3 N, 49.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Irqah (13.7 N, 47.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Aden (12.8 N, 45.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Sunday, November 8, 2015

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm MEGH

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Nov, 2015 0:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm MEGH (05A) currently located near 12.3 N 51.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Somalia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Caluula (11.9 N, 50.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for TS is 65% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Boosaaso (11.3 N, 49.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm MEGH

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 8 Nov, 2015 18:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm MEGH (05A) currently located near 12.3 N 52.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Somalia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Caluula (11.9 N, 50.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Boosaaso (11.3 N, 49.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm MEGH

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 8 Nov, 2015 12:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm MEGH (05A) currently located near 12.8 N 53.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Somalia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Qalansiyah (12.7 N, 53.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Caluula (11.9 N, 50.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Irqah (13.7 N, 47.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
    Boosaaso (11.3 N, 49.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
    'Ataq (14.6 N, 46.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 36 hours
    Aden (12.8 N, 45.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.