A gathering of information, and sources, to aid with monitoring natural events, globally.
Thursday, April 28, 2016
[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
643 PM PDT THU APR 28 2016
..THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS
THE EARTHQUAKE WAS NOT SUFFICIENT TO GENERATE A TSUNAMI.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* THE FOLLOWING PARAMETERS ARE BASED ON A RAPID PRELIMINARY
ASSESSMENT AND CHANGES MAY OCCUR.
* MAGNITUDE 6.9
* ORIGIN TIME 1734 AKDT APR 28 2016
1834 PDT APR 28 2016
0134 UTC APR 29 2016
* COORDINATES 10.2 NORTH 103.8 WEST
* DEPTH 6 MILES
* LOCATION OFF COAST OF MEXICO
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0141 UTC FRI APR 29 2016
...PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.
NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.9
* ORIGIN TIME 0134 UTC APR 29 2016
* COORDINATES 10.2 NORTH 103.8 WEST
* DEPTH 10 KM / 6 MILES
* LOCATION NORTHERN EAST PACIFIC RISE
EVALUATION
----------
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.9 OCCURRED
NEAR THE NORTHERN EAST PACIFIC RISE AT 0134 UTC ON FRIDAY
APRIL 29 2016.
* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------
* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.
* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.
* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S. NATIONAL
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC FINAL TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
2122 UTC THU APR 28 2016
...PTWC FINAL TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.
NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.0
* ORIGIN TIME 1933 UTC APR 28 2016
* COORDINATES 16.2 SOUTH 167.7 EAST
* DEPTH 10 KM / 6 MILES
* LOCATION VANUATU
EVALUATION
----------
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.0 OCCURRED IN
THE VANUATU ISLANDS AT 1933 UTC ON THURSDAY APRIL 28 2016.
* BASED ON ALL DATA AVAILABLE TO THIS CENTER... THE TSUNAMI
THREAT FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE HAS NOW MOSTLY PASSED. ANY
REMAINING THREAT SHOULD BE EVALUATED BY LOCAL AUTHORITIES IN
IMPACTED AREAS.
TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST...UPDATED
---------------------------------
* THERE IS NO LONGER A TSUNAMI THREAT FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------
* REMAIN OBSERVANT AND EXERCISE NORMAL CAUTION NEAR THE SEA.
OTHERWISE... NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* MINOR SEA LEVEL FLUCTUATIONS OF UP TO 0.3 METERS ABOVE AND
BELOW THE NORMAL TIDE MAY CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
NEW INFORMATION IS RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.
* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.
* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S. NATIONAL
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
2044 UTC THU APR 28 2016
...PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.
NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.0
* ORIGIN TIME 1933 UTC APR 28 2016
* COORDINATES 16.2 SOUTH 167.7 EAST
* DEPTH 10 KM / 6 MILES
* LOCATION VANUATU
EVALUATION
----------
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.0 OCCURRED IN
THE VANUATU ISLANDS AT 1933 UTC ON THURSDAY APRIL 28 2016.
* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... HAZARDOUS TSUNAMI WAVES ARE
FORECAST FOR SOME COASTS.
TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST
-----------------------
* TSUNAMI WAVES REACHING 1 TO 3 METERS ABOVE THE TIDE LEVEL ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG SOME COASTS OF
VANUATU.
* TSUNAMI WAVES ARE FORECAST TO BE LESS THAN 0.3 METERS ABOVE
THE TIDE LEVEL FOR THE COASTS OF
NEW CALEDONIA... PAPUA NEW GUINEA... SOLOMON
ISLANDS...
* TSUNAMI WAVES ARE FORECAST TO BE MUCH LESS THAN 0.3 METERS
FOR OTHER COASTS.
* ACTUAL AMPLITUDES AT THE COAST MAY VARY FROM FORECAST
AMPLITUDES DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES IN THE FORECAST AND LOCAL
FEATURES. IN PARTICULAR MAXIMUM TSUNAMI AMPLITUDES ON ATOLLS
WILL LIKELY BE MUCH SMALLER THAN THE FORECAST INDICATES.
* FOR OTHER AREAS COVERED BY THIS PRODUCT A FORECAST HAS NOT
YET BEEN COMPUTED. THE FORECAST WILL BE EXPANDED AS NECESSARY
IN SUBSEQUENT PRODUCTS.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------
* GOVERNMENT AGENCIES RESPONSIBLE FOR THREATENED COASTAL AREAS
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO INFORM AND INSTRUCT ANY COASTAL
POPULATIONS AT RISK IN ACCORDANCE WITH THEIR OWN EVALUATION...
PROCEDURES AND THE LEVEL OF THREAT.
* PERSONS LOCATED IN THREATENED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD STAY ALERT
FOR INFORMATION AND FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM NATIONAL AND
LOCAL AUTHORITIES.
ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL
--------------------------
* ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL -ETA- OF THE INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE
FOR PLACES WITHIN THREATENED REGIONS ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL
ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.
LOCATION REGION COORDINATES ETA(UTC)
------------------------------------------------------------
ESPERITU SANTO VANUATU 15.1S 167.3E 1951 04/28
ANATOM ISLAND VANUATU 20.2S 169.9E 2043 04/28
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES. THE TIME BETWEEN WAVE CRESTS
CAN VARY FROM 5 MINUTES TO AN HOUR. THE HAZARD MAY PERSIST FOR
MANY HOURS OR LONGER AFTER THE INITIAL WAVE.
* IMPACTS CAN VARY SIGNIFICANTLY FROM ONE SECTION OF COAST TO
THE NEXT DUE TO LOCAL BATHYMETRY AND THE SHAPE AND ELEVATION
OF THE SHORELINE.
* IMPACTS CAN ALSO VARY DEPENDING UPON THE STATE OF THE TIDE AT
THE TIME OF THE MAXIMUM TSUNAMI WAVES.
* PERSONS CAUGHT IN THE WATER OF A TSUNAMI MAY DROWN... BE
CRUSHED BY DEBRIS IN THE WATER... OR BE SWEPT OUT TO SEA.
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THE NEXT MESSAGE WILL BE ISSUED IN ONE HOUR... OR SOONER IF
THE SITUATION WARRANTS.
* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.
* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S. NATIONAL
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
2011 UTC THU APR 28 2016
...PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.
NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.0
* ORIGIN TIME 1933 UTC APR 28 2016
* COORDINATES 16.2 SOUTH 167.7 EAST
* DEPTH 10 KM / 6 MILES
* LOCATION VANUATU
EVALUATION
----------
* NOTE REVISED EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.0 OCCURRED IN
THE VANUATU ISLANDS AT 1933 UTC ON THURSDAY APRIL 28 2016.
* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... HAZARDOUS TSUNAMI WAVES ARE
FORECAST FOR SOME COASTS.
TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST...UPDATED
---------------------------------
* TSUNAMI WAVES REACHING 1 TO 3 METERS ABOVE THE TIDE LEVEL ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG SOME COASTS OF
VANUATU.
* TSUNAMI WAVES ARE FORECAST TO BE LESS THAN 0.3 METERS ABOVE
THE TIDE LEVEL FOR THE COASTS OF
FIJI... NEW CALEDONIA... PAPUA NEW GUINEA... SOLOMON
ISLANDS... AND TUVALU.
* ACTUAL AMPLITUDES AT THE COAST MAY VARY FROM FORECAST
AMPLITUDES DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES IN THE FORECAST AND LOCAL
FEATURES. IN PARTICULAR MAXIMUM TSUNAMI AMPLITUDES ON ATOLLS
WILL LIKELY BE MUCH SMALLER THAN THE FORECAST INDICATES.
* FOR OTHER AREAS COVERED BY THIS PRODUCT A FORECAST HAS NOT
YET BEEN COMPUTED. THE FORECAST WILL BE EXPANDED AS NECESSARY
IN SUBSEQUENT PRODUCTS.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------
* GOVERNMENT AGENCIES RESPONSIBLE FOR THREATENED COASTAL AREAS
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO INFORM AND INSTRUCT ANY COASTAL
POPULATIONS AT RISK IN ACCORDANCE WITH THEIR OWN EVALUATION...
PROCEDURES AND THE LEVEL OF THREAT.
* PERSONS LOCATED IN THREATENED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD STAY ALERT
FOR INFORMATION AND FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM NATIONAL AND
LOCAL AUTHORITIES.
ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL
--------------------------
* ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL -ETA- OF THE INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE
FOR PLACES WITHIN THREATENED REGIONS ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL
ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.
LOCATION REGION COORDINATES ETA(UTC)
------------------------------------------------------------
ESPERITU SANTO VANUATU 15.1S 167.3E 1951 04/28
ANATOM ISLAND VANUATU 20.2S 169.9E 2043 04/28
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES. THE TIME BETWEEN WAVE CRESTS
CAN VARY FROM 5 MINUTES TO AN HOUR. THE HAZARD MAY PERSIST FOR
MANY HOURS OR LONGER AFTER THE INITIAL WAVE.
* IMPACTS CAN VARY SIGNIFICANTLY FROM ONE SECTION OF COAST TO
THE NEXT DUE TO LOCAL BATHYMETRY AND THE SHAPE AND ELEVATION
OF THE SHORELINE.
* IMPACTS CAN ALSO VARY DEPENDING UPON THE STATE OF THE TIDE AT
THE TIME OF THE MAXIMUM TSUNAMI WAVES.
* PERSONS CAUGHT IN THE WATER OF A TSUNAMI MAY DROWN... BE
CRUSHED BY DEBRIS IN THE WATER... OR BE SWEPT OUT TO SEA.
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THE NEXT MESSAGE WILL BE ISSUED IN ONE HOUR... OR SOONER IF
THE SITUATION WARRANTS.
* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.
* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S. NATIONAL
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
1238 PM PDT THU APR 28 2016
..THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS
THE EARTHQUAKE WAS NOT SUFFICIENT TO GENERATE A TSUNAMI.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* THE FOLLOWING PARAMETERS ARE BASED ON A RAPID PRELIMINARY
ASSESSMENT AND CHANGES MAY OCCUR.
* MAGNITUDE 7.3
* ORIGIN TIME 1133 AKDT APR 28 2016
1233 PDT APR 28 2016
1933 UTC APR 28 2016
* COORDINATES 16.2 SOUTH 167.7 EAST
* DEPTH 6 MILES
* LOCATION VANUATU ISLANDS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
1937 UTC THU APR 28 2016
...PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.
NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.3
* ORIGIN TIME 1933 UTC APR 28 2016
* COORDINATES 16.2 SOUTH 167.7 EAST
* DEPTH 10 KM / 6 MILES
* LOCATION VANUATU
EVALUATION
----------
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.3 OCCURRED IN
THE VANUATU ISLANDS AT 1933 UTC ON THURSDAY APRIL 28 2016.
* BASED ON THE PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS... HAZARDOUS
TSUNAMI WAVES ARE POSSIBLE FOR COASTS LOCATED WITHIN 300 KM OF
THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER.
TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST
---------------------------------
* HAZARDOUS TSUNAMI WAVES FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN 300 KM OF THE EPICENTER ALONG THE COASTS OF
VANUATU
.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------
* GOVERNMENT AGENCIES RESPONSIBLE FOR THREATENED COASTAL AREAS
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO INFORM AND INSTRUCT ANY COASTAL
POPULATIONS AT RISK IN ACCORDANCE WITH THEIR OWN EVALUATION...
PROCEDURES AND THE LEVEL OF THREAT.
* PERSONS LOCATED IN THREATENED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD STAY ALERT
FOR INFORMATION AND FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM NATIONAL AND
LOCAL AUTHORITIES.
ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL
--------------------------
* ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL -ETA- OF THE INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE
FOR PLACES WITH A POTENTIAL TSUNAMI THREAT AS WELL AS FOR
OTHER PLACES HAVING AN ETA WITHIN THE NEXT SIX HOURS. ACTUAL
ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.
LOCATION REGION COORDINATES ETA(UTC)
------------------------------------------------------------
ESPERITU SANTO VANUATU 15.1S 167.3E 1952 04/28
ANATOM ISLAND VANUATU 20.2S 169.9E 2044 04/28
SANTA CRUZ ISLA SOLOMON ISLANDS 10.9S 165.9E 2052 04/28
KIRAKIRA SOLOMON ISLANDS 10.4S 161.9E 2102 04/28
AUKI SOLOMON ISLANDS 8.8S 160.6E 2135 04/28
NOUMEA NEW CALEDONIA 22.3S 166.5E 2144 04/28
HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 9.3S 160.0E 2145 04/28
GHATERE SOLOMON ISLANDS 7.8S 159.2E 2152 04/28
FUNAFUTI ISLAND TUVALU 7.9S 178.5E 2155 04/28
MUNDA SOLOMON ISLANDS 8.4S 157.2E 2203 04/28
PANGGOE SOLOMON ISLANDS 6.9S 157.2E 2205 04/28
FALAMAE SOLOMON ISLANDS 7.4S 155.6E 2206 04/28
SUVA FIJI 18.1S 178.4E 2209 04/28
FUTUNA ISLAND WALLIS AND FUTUN 14.3S 178.2W 2216 04/28
NAURU NAURU 0.5S 166.9E 2221 04/28
AMUN PAPUA NEW GUINEA 6.0S 154.7E 2225 04/28
WOODLARK ISLAND PAPUA NEW GUINEA 9.0S 152.9E 2226 04/28
KIETA PAPUA NEW GUINEA 6.1S 155.6E 2226 04/28
WALLIS ISLAND WALLIS AND FUTUN 13.3S 176.3W 2233 04/28
RABAUL PAPUA NEW GUINEA 4.2S 152.3E 2244 04/28
RAOUL ISLAND KERMADEC ISLANDS 29.2S 177.9W 2250 04/28
NORTH CAPE NEW ZEALAND 34.4S 173.3E 2257 04/28
NUKUALOFA TONGA 21.0S 175.2W 2259 04/28
HOWLAND ISLAND HOWLAND AND BAKE 0.6N 176.6W 2306 04/28
NUKUNONU ISLAND TOKELAU 9.2S 171.8W 2311 04/28
KOSRAE ISLAND KOSRAE 5.5N 163.0E 2316 04/28
ULAMONA PAPUA NEW GUINEA 5.0S 151.3E 2319 04/28
LAE PAPUA NEW GUINEA 6.8S 147.0E 2320 04/28
APIA SAMOA 13.8S 171.8W 2320 04/28
PAGO PAGO AMERICAN SAMOA 14.3S 170.7W 2322 04/28
KANTON ISLAND KIRIBATI 2.8S 171.7W 2322 04/28
MAJURO MARSHALL ISLANDS 7.1N 171.4E 2328 04/28
TARAWA ISLAND KIRIBATI 1.5N 173.0E 2329 04/28
KAVIENG PAPUA NEW GUINEA 2.5S 150.7E 2330 04/28
PORT MORESBY PAPUA NEW GUINEA 9.3S 146.9E 2334 04/28
BRISBANE AUSTRALIA 27.2S 153.3E 2342 04/28
KWAJALEIN MARSHALL ISLANDS 8.7N 167.7E 2343 04/28
NIUE ISLAND NIUE 19.0S 170.0W 2343 04/28
POHNPEI ISLAND POHNPEI 7.0N 158.2E 2352 04/28
MADANG PAPUA NEW GUINEA 5.2S 145.8E 2353 04/28
AUCKLAND WEST NEW ZEALAND 37.1S 174.2E 2357 04/28
MANUS ISLAND PAPUA NEW GUINEA 2.0S 147.5E 0003 04/29
PUKAPUKA ISLAND COOK ISLANDS 10.8S 165.9W 0003 04/29
CAIRNS AUSTRALIA 16.7S 145.8E 0012 04/29
GISBORNE NEW ZEALAND 38.7S 178.0E 0017 04/29
SYDNEY AUSTRALIA 33.9S 151.4E 0018 04/29
EAST CAPE NEW ZEALAND 37.7S 178.5E 0022 04/29
ENIWETOK MARSHALL ISLANDS 11.4N 162.3E 0025 04/29
WEWAK PAPUA NEW GUINEA 3.5S 143.6E 0031 04/29
NEW PLYMOUTH NEW ZEALAND 39.1S 174.1E 0038 04/29
AUCKLAND EAST NEW ZEALAND 36.7S 175.0E 0042 04/29
VANIMO PAPUA NEW GUINEA 2.6S 141.3E 0052 04/29
NAPIER NEW ZEALAND 39.5S 176.9E 0053 04/29
CHUUK ISLAND CHUUK 7.4N 151.8E 0054 04/29
JARVIS ISLAND JARVIS ISLAND 0.4S 160.1W 0055 04/29
JAYAPURA INDONESIA 2.4S 140.8E 0056 04/29
MILFORD SOUND NEW ZEALAND 44.6S 167.9E 0058 04/29
RAROTONGA COOK ISLANDS 21.2S 159.8W 0059 04/29
GLADSTONE AUSTRALIA 23.8S 151.4E 0102 04/29
PALMYRA ISLAND PALMYRA ISLAND 5.9N 162.1W 0105 04/29
WAKE ISLAND WAKE ISLAND 19.3N 166.6E 0109 04/29
PENRYN ISLAND COOK ISLANDS 8.9S 157.8W 0112 04/29
WELLINGTON NEW ZEALAND 41.3S 174.8E 0114 04/29
WESTPORT NEW ZEALAND 41.8S 171.6E 0119 04/29
JOHNSTON ISLAND JOHNSTON ISLAND 16.7N 169.5W 0123 04/29
CHRISTMAS ISLAN KIRIBATI 2.0N 157.5W 0127 04/29
MALDEN ISLAND KIRIBATI 3.9S 154.9W 0133 04/29
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES. THE TIME BETWEEN WAVE CRESTS
CAN VARY FROM 5 MINUTES TO AN HOUR. THE HAZARD MAY PERSIST FOR
MANY HOURS OR LONGER AFTER THE INITIAL WAVE.
* IMPACTS CAN VARY SIGNIFICANTLY FROM ONE SECTION OF COAST TO
THE NEXT DUE TO LOCAL BATHYMETRY AND THE SHAPE AND ELEVATION
OF THE SHORELINE.
* IMPACTS CAN ALSO VARY DEPENDING UPON THE STATE OF THE TIDE AT
THE TIME OF THE MAXIMUM TSUNAMI WAVES.
* PERSONS CAUGHT IN THE WATER OF A TSUNAMI MAY DROWN... BE
CRUSHED BY DEBRIS IN THE WATER... OR BE SWEPT OUT TO SEA.
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THE NEXT MESSAGE WILL BE ISSUED IN ONE HOUR... OR SOONER IF
THE SITUATION WARRANTS.
* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.
* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S. NATIONAL
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.
$$
Saturday, April 23, 2016
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone AMOS
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Apr, 2016 0:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone AMOS is currently located near 13.9 S 171.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). AMOS is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. AMOS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
probability for TS is 65% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FANTALA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Apr, 2016 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FANTALA is currently located near 11.7 S 54.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). FANTALA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Seychelles
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Providence Is. (9.2 S, 51.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone AMOS
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Apr, 2016 12:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone AMOS is currently located near 13.4 S 172.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). AMOS is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. AMOS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone AMOS
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Apr, 2016 6:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone AMOS is currently located near 12.8 S 173.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). AMOS is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. AMOS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% currently
Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Friday, April 22, 2016
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone AMOS
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Apr, 2016 0:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone AMOS is currently located near 12.4 S 174.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). AMOS is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. AMOS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone FANTALA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 22 Apr, 2016 18:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone FANTALA is currently located near 12.9 S 57.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). FANTALA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FANTALA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Seychelles
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Tanzania
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 10% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Providence Is. (9.2 S, 51.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Aldabra (9.0 S, 46.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 72 hours
Cosmoledo Is. (9.5 S, 47.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Dar es Salaam (6.8 S, 39.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 10% in about 120 hours
Lodge (7.9 S, 39.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 10% in about 120 hours
Kilwa Masoko (8.9 S, 39.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 10% in about 120 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone AMOS
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Apr, 2016 18:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone AMOS is currently located near 12.4 S 175.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). AMOS is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. AMOS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for TS is 65% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone AMOS
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Apr, 2016 12:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone AMOS is currently located near 12.4 S 176.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). AMOS is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. AMOS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone AMOS
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Apr, 2016 6:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone AMOS is currently located near 12.5 S 177.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). AMOS is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. AMOS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone FANTALA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 22 Apr, 2016 6:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone FANTALA is currently located near 13.2 S 57.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). FANTALA is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FANTALA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Seychelles
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Providence Is. (9.2 S, 51.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Cosmoledo Is. (9.5 S, 47.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 72 hours
Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Aldabra (9.0 S, 46.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Ambilobe (13.0 S, 49.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Thursday, April 21, 2016
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone AMOS
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Apr, 2016 0:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone AMOS is currently located near 12.4 S 177.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). AMOS is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. AMOS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone FANTALA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Apr, 2016 18:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone FANTALA is currently located near 12.9 S 56.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). FANTALA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FANTALA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Seychelles
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Providence Is. (9.2 S, 51.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Cosmoledo Is. (9.5 S, 47.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AMOS
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Apr, 2016 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm AMOS is currently located near 12.7 S 178.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). AMOS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Alofi (19.0 S, 169.9 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AMOS
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Apr, 2016 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm AMOS is currently located near 12.7 S 178.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). AMOS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AMOS
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Apr, 2016 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm AMOS is currently located near 13.0 S 179.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). AMOS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone FANTALA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Apr, 2016 6:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone FANTALA is currently located near 12.3 S 55.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). FANTALA is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FANTALA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Seychelles
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Ambilobe (13.0 S, 49.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Cosmoledo Is. (9.5 S, 47.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Hell-Ville (13.3 S, 48.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Wednesday, April 20, 2016
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AMOS
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Apr, 2016 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm AMOS is currently located near 12.5 S 179.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). AMOS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone FANTALA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Apr, 2016 18:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone FANTALA is currently located near 11.5 S 54.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). FANTALA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FANTALA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
the Seychelles
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Mayotte
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Comoros
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Ambilobe (13.0 S, 49.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Providence Is. (9.2 S, 51.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Aldabra (9.0 S, 46.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Cosmoledo Is. (9.5 S, 47.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Hell-Ville (13.3 S, 48.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Moroni (11.7 S, 43.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AMOS
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Apr, 2016 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm AMOS is currently located near 12.6 S 179.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). AMOS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone FANTALA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Apr, 2016 6:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone FANTALA is currently located near 10.5 S 52.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). FANTALA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FANTALA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Seychelles
probability for TS is 55% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tuesday, April 19, 2016
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone FANTALA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Apr, 2016 18:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone FANTALA is currently located near 9.8 S 51.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). FANTALA is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FANTALA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Seychelles
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Providence Is. (9.2 S, 51.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 5% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 5% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone FANTALA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Apr, 2016 6:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone FANTALA is currently located near 9.3 S 50.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). FANTALA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FANTALA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Seychelles
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Providence Is. (9.2 S, 51.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Monday, April 18, 2016
TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC FANTALA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 18 Apr, 2016 18:00 GMT
Very Intense TC FANTALA is currently located near 9.3 S 49.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 140 kts (161 mph). FANTALA is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FANTALA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Seychelles
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Providence Is. (9.2 S, 51.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC FANTALA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 18 Apr, 2016 6:00 GMT
Very Intense TC FANTALA is currently located near 9.3 S 49.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 150 kts (173 mph). FANTALA is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FANTALA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Seychelles
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Providence Is. (9.2 S, 51.1 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Sunday, April 17, 2016
TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC FANTALA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 Apr, 2016 18:00 GMT
Very Intense TC FANTALA is currently located near 9.8 S 50.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 150 kts (173 mph). FANTALA is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FANTALA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Seychelles
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Providence Is. (9.2 S, 51.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Ambilobe (13.0 S, 49.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC FANTALA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 Apr, 2016 6:00 GMT
Very Intense TC FANTALA is currently located near 10.6 S 52.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 130 kts (150 mph). FANTALA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FANTALA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Seychelles
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Providence Is. (9.2 S, 51.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.