[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement

WEAK53 PAAQ 290420
TIBAK1

Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
820 PM AKDT Tue Mar 28 2017

..THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA, BRITISH
COLUMBIA, WASHINGTON, OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...

EVALUATION
----------
* There is no tsunami danger for the U.S. West Coast, British
Columbia, or Alaska.

* Based on earthquake information and historic tsunami records,
the earthquake is not expected to generate a tsunami.

* An earthquake has occurred with parameters listed below.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment and changes may occur.

* Magnitude 6.9
* Origin Time 2009 AKDT Mar 28 2017
2109 PDT Mar 28 2017
0409 UTC Mar 29 2017
* Coordinates 57.0 North 162.9 East
* Depth 6 miles
* Location 185 miles NW of Bering I., Komandorski
325 miles NE of Petropavlovsk, Kamchatka


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Refer to the internet site tsunami.gov for more information.

* Pacific coastal regions outside California, Oregon, Washington,
British Columbia, and Alaska should refer to the Pacific Tsunami
Warning Center messages at ptwc.weather.gov.

* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0419 UTC WED MAR 29 2017

..PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.9
* ORIGIN TIME 0409 UTC MAR 29 2017
* COORDINATES 57.0 NORTH 162.9 EAST
* DEPTH 10 KM / 6 MILES
* LOCATION NEAR THE EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA RUSSIA


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.9 OCCURRED
NEAR THE EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA, RUSSIA AT 0409 UTC ON
WEDNESDAY MARCH 29 2017.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone DEBBIE

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Mar, 2017 6:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Cyclone DEBBIE is currently located near 20.4 S 148.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). DEBBIE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DEBBIE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Bowen (20.0 S, 148.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone DEBBIE

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Mar, 2017 18:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone DEBBIE is currently located near 19.9 S 149.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). DEBBIE is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DEBBIE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Bowen (20.0 S, 148.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mackay (21.3 S, 149.1 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Townsville (19.2 S, 146.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Charters Towers (20.0 S, 146.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    St. Lawrence (22.3 S, 149.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone DEBBIE

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Mar, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone DEBBIE is currently located near 19.5 S 150.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). DEBBIE is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DEBBIE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Bowen (20.0 S, 148.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Mackay (21.3 S, 149.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St. Lawrence (22.3 S, 149.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Clermount (22.8 S, 147.7 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone DEBBIE

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Mar, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone DEBBIE is currently located near 18.6 S 150.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). DEBBIE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DEBBIE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Bowen (20.0 S, 148.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mackay (21.3 S, 149.1 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Townsville (19.2 S, 146.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Charters Towers (20.0 S, 146.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone DEBBIE

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Mar, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone DEBBIE is currently located near 18.3 S 151.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). DEBBIE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DEBBIE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Bowen (20.0 S, 148.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mackay (21.3 S, 149.1 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Townsville (19.2 S, 146.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
    Charters Towers (20.0 S, 146.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
    Ingham (18.5 S, 146.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone DEBBIE

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Mar, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone DEBBIE is currently located near 17.9 S 151.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). DEBBIE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DEBBIE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Bowen (20.0 S, 148.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Townsville (19.2 S, 146.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mackay (21.3 S, 149.1 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Charters Towers (20.0 S, 146.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
    Ingham (18.5 S, 146.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm THIRTEEN

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Mar, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm THIRTEEN is currently located near 17.2 S 152.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). THIRTEEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Bowen (20.0 S, 148.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Mackay (21.3 S, 149.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Townsville (19.2 S, 146.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
    Charters Towers (20.0 S, 146.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Ingham (18.5 S, 146.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Innisfail (17.5 S, 146.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
    Tully (17.8 S, 145.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ENAWO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Mar, 2017 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ENAWO is currently located near 26.2 S 46.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). ENAWO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ELEVEN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 8 Mar, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ELEVEN is currently located near 15.2 S 70.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). ELEVEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone ENAWO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 7 Mar, 2017 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Cyclone ENAWO is currently located near 15.2 S 49.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). ENAWO is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ENAWO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Maroantseta (15.4 S, 49.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Analalava (14.7 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Ambilobe (13.0 S, 49.1 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Hell-Ville (13.3 S, 48.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    Mahajanga (15.7 S, 46.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC ENAWO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 7 Mar, 2017 6:00 GMT

Very Intense TC ENAWO is currently located near 14.6 S 50.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). ENAWO is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ENAWO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Maroantseta (15.4 S, 49.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Analalava (14.7 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Ambilobe (13.0 S, 49.1 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Hell-Ville (13.3 S, 48.3 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Mahajanga (15.7 S, 46.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC ENAWO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 6 Mar, 2017 18:00 GMT

Very Intense TC ENAWO is currently located near 14.5 S 52.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). ENAWO is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ENAWO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Maroantseta (15.4 S, 49.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Ambilobe (13.0 S, 49.1 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Analalava (14.7 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
    Hell-Ville (13.3 S, 48.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression BLANCHE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 6 Mar, 2017 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Depression BLANCHE is currently located near 16.0 S 127.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). BLANCHE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone ENAWO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 6 Mar, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone ENAWO is currently located near 14.0 S 53.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). ENAWO is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ENAWO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Maroantseta (15.4 S, 49.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Analalava (14.7 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Ambilobe (13.0 S, 49.1 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Hell-Ville (13.3 S, 48.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Mahajanga (15.7 S, 46.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BLANCHE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 6 Mar, 2017 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BLANCHE is currently located near 14.0 S 128.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). BLANCHE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
        probability for TS is 85% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement

WEAK53 PAAQ 052255
TIBAK1

Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
255 PM PST Sun Mar 5 2017

..THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA, BRITISH
COLUMBIA, WASHINGTON, OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...

EVALUATION
----------
* There is no tsunami danger for the U.S. West Coast, British
Columbia, or Alaska.

* Based on earthquake information and historic tsunami records,
the earthquake is not expected to generate a tsunami.

* An earthquake has occurred with parameters listed below.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment and changes may occur.

* Magnitude 6.5
* Origin Time 1348 AKST Mar 05 2017
1448 PST Mar 05 2017
2248 UTC Mar 05 2017
* Coordinates 6.3 South 149.5 East
* Depth 21 miles
* Location in the New Britain region, PNG


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Refer to the internet site tsunami.gov for more information.

* Pacific coastal regions outside California, Oregon, Washington,
British Columbia, and Alaska should refer to the Pacific Tsunami
Warning Center messages at ptwc.weather.gov.

* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
2254 UTC SUN MAR 5 2017

..PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.5
* ORIGIN TIME 2248 UTC MAR 5 2017
* COORDINATES 6.3 SOUTH 149.5 EAST
* DEPTH 33 KM / 20 MILES
* LOCATION NEW BRITAIN REGION PAPUA NEW GUINEA


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.5 OCCURRED IN
THE NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA AT 2248 UTC ON
SUNDAY MARCH 5 2017.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone ENAWO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 5 Mar, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone ENAWO is currently located near 13.9 S 55.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). ENAWO is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ENAWO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Maroantseta (15.4 S, 49.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Analalava (14.7 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Ambilobe (13.0 S, 49.1 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Mahajanga (15.7 S, 46.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Hell-Ville (13.3 S, 48.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone ENAWO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 5 Mar, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone ENAWO is currently located near 13.5 S 56.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). ENAWO is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ENAWO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Maroantseta (15.4 S, 49.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Ambilobe (13.0 S, 49.1 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Analalava (14.7 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone ENAWO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 4 Mar, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone ENAWO is currently located near 13.7 S 56.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). ENAWO is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ENAWO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Maroantseta (15.4 S, 49.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Analalava (14.7 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ENAWO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 4 Mar, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ENAWO is currently located near 13.6 S 56.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). ENAWO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    Maroantseta (15.4 S, 49.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ENAWO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 3 Mar, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ENAWO is currently located near 13.1 S 56.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). ENAWO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Maroantseta (15.4 S, 49.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 120 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Analalava (14.7 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Miandrivazo (19.4 S, 45.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NINE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 3 Mar, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NINE is currently located near 12.7 S 56.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). NINE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Maroantseta (15.4 S, 49.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.