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Monday, July 31, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NORU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Aug, 2017 0:00 GMT

Typhoon NORU is currently located near 23.6 N 138.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). NORU is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NORU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NORU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Jul, 2017 18:00 GMT

Typhoon NORU is currently located near 23.3 N 138.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). NORU is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NORU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NORU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Jul, 2017 12:00 GMT

Typhoon NORU is currently located near 23.0 N 139.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). NORU is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NORU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm EMILY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 31 Jul, 2017 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm EMILY is currently located near 27.7 N 83.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). EMILY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 75% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL06

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 31 Jul, 2017 10:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL06 is currently located near 27.7 N 83.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL06 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Sunday, July 30, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression HAITANG

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Jul, 2017 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Depression HAITANG is currently located near 25.7 N 119.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). HAITANG is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HAITANG

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Jul, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HAITANG is currently located near 24.2 N 120.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). HAITANG is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    China
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression HAITANG

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Jul, 2017 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression HAITANG is currently located near 23.0 N 120.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). HAITANG is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HAITANG

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Jul, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HAITANG is currently located near 21.7 N 120.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). HAITANG is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    China
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Saturday, July 29, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NESAT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Jul, 2017 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm NESAT is currently located near 25.9 N 119.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). NESAT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 65% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HAITANG

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Jul, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HAITANG is currently located near 19.5 N 118.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). HAITANG is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HAITANG

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Jul, 2017 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HAITANG is currently located near 19.1 N 117.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). HAITANG is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NESAT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Jul, 2017 12:00 GMT

Typhoon NESAT is currently located near 24.6 N 121.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). NESAT is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NESAT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HAITANG

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Jul, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HAITANG is currently located near 18.6 N 116.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). HAITANG is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NESAT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Jul, 2017 6:00 GMT

Typhoon NESAT is currently located near 23.3 N 122.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). NESAT is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NESAT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Friday, July 28, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWELVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Jul, 2017 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWELVE is currently located near 18.3 N 116.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). TWELVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NESAT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Jul, 2017 0:00 GMT

Typhoon NESAT is currently located near 22.5 N 123.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). NESAT is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NESAT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NESAT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Jul, 2017 18:00 GMT

Typhoon NESAT is currently located near 21.7 N 123.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). NESAT is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NESAT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NESAT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Jul, 2017 12:00 GMT

Typhoon NESAT is currently located near 21.3 N 124.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). NESAT is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NESAT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWELVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Jul, 2017 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWELVE is currently located near 18.6 N 115.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). TWELVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NESAT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Jul, 2017 6:00 GMT

Typhoon NESAT is currently located near 20.6 N 125.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). NESAT is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NESAT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWELVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Jul, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWELVE is currently located near 19.2 N 116.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). TWELVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Thursday, July 27, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NESAT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Jul, 2017 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NESAT is currently located near 20.0 N 125.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). NESAT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NESAT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Jul, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NESAT is currently located near 19.5 N 126.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). NESAT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NESAT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Jul, 2017 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NESAT is currently located near 18.6 N 126.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). NESAT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NESAT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Jul, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NESAT is currently located near 18.2 N 127.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). NESAT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Wednesday, July 26, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NESAT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Jul, 2017 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NESAT is currently located near 17.7 N 127.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). NESAT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NESAT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Jul, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NESAT is currently located near 17.4 N 127.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). NESAT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NESAT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Jul, 2017 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NESAT is currently located near 17.0 N 128.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). NESAT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NESAT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Jul, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NESAT is currently located near 16.2 N 128.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). NESAT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Tuesday, July 25, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression ELEVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Jul, 2017 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression ELEVEN is currently located near 15.8 N 128.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). ELEVEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SONCA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Jul, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SONCA is currently located near 17.0 N 107.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). SONCA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Laos
        probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Monday, July 24, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SONCA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Jul, 2017 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SONCA is currently located near 16.7 N 108.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). SONCA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SONCA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Jul, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SONCA is currently located near 17.0 N 110.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). SONCA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Sunday, July 23, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SONCA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Jul, 2017 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SONCA is currently located near 17.0 N 111.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). SONCA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Saturday, July 22, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression ROKE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Jul, 2017 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Depression ROKE is currently located near 22.3 N 114.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). ROKE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Friday, July 21, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression EIGHT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Jul, 2017 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression EIGHT is currently located near 18.0 N 113.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). EIGHT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Thursday, July 20, 2017

[Tsunami Message - IOC] TSP INDONESIA BULL-1 ISSUED EQ Mag:6.8,22:31UTC,20-Jul-2017,Loc:36.99N,27.58E(Dodecanese Islands, Greece),See http://rtsp.bmkg.go.id

TSP-InaTEWS-20170720-2247-001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PUBLIC TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 1 (TYPE-I EARTHQUAKE BULLETIN)
IOTWMS TSUNAMI SERVICE PROVIDER INDONESIA (InaTEWS-BMKG)
issued at 2247 UTC, Thursday, 20 July 2017
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

... EARTHQUAKE BULLETIN ...

This bulletin applies to areas within and bordering the Indian Ocean
and is issued by Tsunami Service Provider INDONESIA in support of the
UNESCO/IOC Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning and Mitigation System (IOTWMS).

For information applying to areas outside the Indian Ocean refer to
the relevant Tsunami Warning and Mitigation Systems listed in section
6 below.

1. EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION
IOTWMS-TSP INDONESIA has detected an earthquake with the following
preliminary information:

Magnitude : 6.8 Mwp
Depth : 19km
Date : 20 Jul 2017
Origin Time: 22:31:13 UTC
Latitude : 36.99N
Longitude : 27.58E
Location : Dodecanese Islands, Greece

2. EVALUATION
Based on historical data and tsunami modelling, this earthquake
may be capable of generating a tsunami affecting the Indian Ocean
region. IOTWMS-TSP INDONESIA will monitor the situation to determine
if a tsunami was generated and will issue further bulletins as
information becomes available.

Further information on this event will be available at:
http://rtsp.bmkg.go.id

3. ADVICE
This bulletin is being issued as advice. Only national/state/local
authorities and disaster management officers have the authority to
make decisions regarding the official threat and warning status in
their coastal areas and any action to be taken in response.

For more detailed information, please refer to the tsunami advisory
bulletins issued by the National Tsunami Warning Centres (NTWCs) of
Indian Ocean countries. The tsunami warning status reported by NTWCs
For their countries can be found at:
http://www.incois.gov.in/Incois/tsunami/NTWCFeedbackStatus.jsp

4. OTHER INDIAN OCEAN TSUNAMI SERVICE PROVIDERS:
Other IOTWMS-TSPs may issue additional information at:
IOTWMS-TSP AUSTRALIA: http://www.bom.gov.au/tsunami/IOTWMS/
IOTWMS-TSP
INDIA: http://www.incois.gov.in/Incois/tsunami/eqevents.jsp

5. CONTACT INFORMATION
IOTWMS-TSP INDONESIA:
THE AGENCY FOR METEOROLOGY CLIMATOLOGY AND GEOPHYSICS (BMKG)
InaTEWS - Indonesian Tsunami Early Warning System
Address: Jl. Angkasa I no.2 Kemayoran, Jakarta, Indonesia, 10720
Tel.: +62 (21) 4246321/6546316
Fax: +62 (21) 6546316/4246703
P.O. Box 3540 Jakarta
Website: http://rtsp.bmkg.go.id/publicbull.php
E-Mail: inartsp@bmkg.go.id
monitrtwp@bmkg.go.id

6. TSUNAMI WARNING SYSTEMS OUTSIDE THE INDIAN OCEAN
Pacific Tsunami Warning and Mitigation System (PTWS):
----------------------------------------------------
Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre (PTWC)
http://ptwc.weather.gov/

North West Pacific Tsunami Advisory Centre (NWPTAC)
http://www.jma.go.jp/en/tsunami/

US National Tsunami Warning Centre (US NTWC)
http://wcatwc.arh.noaa.gov/

Joint Australian Tsunami Warning Centre (JATWC)
http://www.bom.gov.au/tsunami/

Northeast Atlantic, Mediterranean and Connected Seas (NEAMTWS):
--------------------------------------------------------------
French National Tsunami Warning Centre (CENALT)
http://www.info-tsunami.fr

Institute of Geodynamics, National Observatory of Athens
http://www.gein.noa.gr/en/

Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, Turkey
http://www.koeri.boun.edu.tr/2/en/

Caribbean and Adjacent Regions (CARIBE EWS):
-------------------------------------------
Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre (PTWC)
http://ptwc.weather.gov/

END OF BULLETIN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------