NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Sep, 2017 0:00 GMT
Tropical Depression MAWAR is currently located near 19.7 N 118.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). MAWAR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.