A gathering of information, and sources, to aid with monitoring natural events, globally.
Tuesday, October 31, 2017
[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI SUPPLEMENT STATEMENT
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0312 UTC WED NOV 1 2017
..PTWC TSUNAMI SUPPLEMENT STATEMENT...
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.
NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
THE TSUNAMI FORECAST IS UNCHANGED IN THIS MESSAGE.
NOTE THE DOWNGRADED MAGNITUDE AND OBSERVATIONS.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.6
* ORIGIN TIME 0224 UTC NOV 1 2017
* COORDINATES 21.6 SOUTH 168.7 EAST
* DEPTH 14 KM / 9 MILES
* LOCATION LOYALTY ISLANDS
EVALUATION
----------
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.6 OCCURRED IN
THE LOYALTY ISLANDS AT 0224 UTC ON WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 1
2017.
* SMALL TSUNAMI WAVES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------
* PERSONS ALONG COASTAL AREAS NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE SHOULD BE
OBSERVANT AND EXERCISE NORMAL CAUTION. OTHERWISE... NO
ACTION IS REQUIRED.
TSUNAMI OBSERVATIONS
--------------------
* THE FOLLOWING ARE TSUNAMI WAVE OBSERVATIONS FROM COASTAL
AND/OR DEEP-OCEAN SEA LEVEL GAUGES AT THE INDICATED
LOCATIONS. THE MAXIMUM TSUNAMI HEIGHT IS MEASURED WITH
RESPECT TO THE NORMAL TIDE LEVEL.
GAUGE TIME OF MAXIMUM WAVE
COORDINATES MEASURE TSUNAMI PERIOD
GAUGE LOCATION LAT LON (UTC) HEIGHT (MIN)
-------------------------------------------------------------
LIFOU NEW CALEDONIA 20.9S 167.3E 0250 0.02M/ 0.1FT 06
LENAKEL VU 19.5S 169.3E 0256 0.10M/ 0.3FT 04
MARE NEW CALEDONIA 21.5S 167.9E 0249 0.06M/ 0.2FT 04
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
NEW INFORMATION IS RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.
* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.
* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement
TIBAK1
Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
732 PM PDT Tue Oct 31 2017
..THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA, BRITISH
COLUMBIA, WASHINGTON, OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* There is no tsunami danger for the U.S. West Coast, British
Columbia, or Alaska.
* Based on earthquake information and historic tsunami records,
the earthquake is not expected to generate a tsunami.
* An earthquake has occurred with parameters listed below.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment and changes may occur.
* Magnitude 6.8
* Origin Time 1824 AKDT Oct 31 2017
1924 PDT Oct 31 2017
0224 UTC Nov 01 2017
* Coordinates 21.6 South 168.7 East
* Depth 9 miles
* Location near the Loyalty Islands
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Refer to the internet site tsunami.gov for more information.
* Pacific coastal regions outside California, Oregon, Washington,
British Columbia, and Alaska should refer to the Pacific Tsunami
Warning Center messages at tsunami.gov.
* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0231 UTC WED NOV 1 2017
..PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.
NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.8
* ORIGIN TIME 0224 UTC NOV 1 2017
* COORDINATES 21.6 SOUTH 168.7 EAST
* DEPTH 14 KM / 9 MILES
* LOCATION LOYALTY ISLANDS
EVALUATION
----------
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.8 OCCURRED IN
THE LOYALTY ISLANDS AT 0224 UTC ON WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 1
2017.
* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------
* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.
* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.
* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.
$$
Monday, October 30, 2017
[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI SUPPLEMENT STATEMENT
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0136 UTC TUE OCT 31 2017
..PTWC TSUNAMI SUPPLEMENT STATEMENT...
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.
NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.0
* ORIGIN TIME 0042 UTC OCT 31 2017
* COORDINATES 21.7 SOUTH 169.0 EAST
* DEPTH 15 KM / 9 MILES
* LOCATION SOUTHEAST OF LOYALTY ISLANDS
EVALUATION
----------
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.0 OCCURRED
SOUTHEAST OF THE LOYALTY ISLANDS AT 0042 UTC ON TUESDAY
OCTOBER 31 2017.
* SMALL TSUNAMI WAVES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED.
* 9 CM AMPLITUDE AT LIFOU NEW CALEDONIA
13 CM AMPLITUDE AT MARE NEW CALEDONIA
10 CM AMPLITUDE AT LENAKEL VANUATU
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------
* PERSONS ALONG COASTAL AREAS NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE SHOULD BE
OBSERVANT AND EXERCISE NORMAL CAUTION. OTHERWISE... NO
ACTION IS REQUIRED.
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
NEW INFORMATION IS RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.
* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.
* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement
TIBAK1
Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
549 PM PDT Mon Oct 30 2017
..THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA, BRITISH
COLUMBIA, WASHINGTON, OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* There is no tsunami danger for the U.S. West Coast, British
Columbia, or Alaska.
* Based on earthquake information and historic tsunami records,
the earthquake is not expected to generate a tsunami.
* An earthquake has occurred with parameters listed below.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment and changes may occur.
* Magnitude 7.0
* Origin Time 1642 AKDT Oct 30 2017
1742 PDT Oct 30 2017
0042 UTC Oct 31 2017
* Coordinates 21.7 South 169.0 East
* Depth 9 miles
* Location in the Loyalty Islands region
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Refer to the internet site tsunami.gov for more information.
* Pacific coastal regions outside California, Oregon, Washington,
British Columbia, and Alaska should refer to the Pacific Tsunami
Warning Center messages at tsunami.gov.
* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0046 UTC TUE OCT 31 2017
..PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.
NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.0
* ORIGIN TIME 0042 UTC OCT 31 2017
* COORDINATES 21.7 SOUTH 169.0 EAST
* DEPTH 15 KM / 9 MILES
* LOCATION SOUTHEAST OF LOYALTY ISLANDS
EVALUATION
----------
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.0 OCCURRED
SOUTHEAST OF THE LOYALTY ISLANDS AT 0042 UTC ON TUESDAY
OCTOBER 31 2017.
* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------
* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.
* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.
* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.
$$
Sunday, October 29, 2017
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PHILIPPE
N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2017 15:00 GMT
Tropical Storm PHILIPPE is currently located near 27.8 N 77.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). PHILIPPE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Bahamas
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SAOLA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2017 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)
Tropical Storm SAOLA is currently located near 34.4 N 140.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 100% currently
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PHILIPPE
N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2017 9:00 GMT
Tropical Storm PHILIPPE is currently located near 25.0 N 81.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). PHILIPPE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the United States
probability for TS is 100% currently
the Bahamas
probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SAOLA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2017 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SAOLA is currently located near 32.6 N 135.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
Saturday, October 28, 2017
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PHILIPPE
N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2017 3:00 GMT
Tropical Storm PHILIPPE is currently located near 24.8 N 82.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). PHILIPPE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the United States
probability for TS is 100% currently
the Bahamas
probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
Canada
probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
Cuba
probability for TS is 55% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Key West (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
probability for TS is 100% currently
West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
Bangor (44.5 N, 68.5 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
Augusta (44.3 N, 69.8 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2017 0:00 GMT
Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 31.4 N 132.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). SAOLA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PHILIPPE
N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 21:00 GMT
Tropical Storm PHILIPPE is currently located near 23.0 N 82.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). PHILIPPE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cuba
probability for TS is 100% currently
the United States
probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
the Bahamas
probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
Canada
probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Havana (23.0 N, 82.4 W)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
Key West (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
Nueva Gerona (21.9 N, 82.8 W)
probability for TS is 65% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 30.2 N 131.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). SAOLA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL18
N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 15:00 GMT
Tropical Depression AL18 is currently located near 20.8 N 82.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL18 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cuba
probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
the Bahamas
probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
the United States
probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
the Cayman Islands
probability for TS is 60% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Santa Clara (22.4 N, 80.0 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
Nueva Gerona (21.9 N, 82.8 W)
probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours
Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression SELMA
NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 15:00 GMT
Tropical Depression SELMA is currently located near 13.7 N 88.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). SELMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Honduras
probability for TS is 70% currently
El Salvador
probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
San Salvador (13.7 N, 89.2 W)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 12:00 GMT
Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 28.5 N 129.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). SAOLA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL18
N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 9:00 GMT
Tropical Depression AL18 is currently located near 19.6 N 84.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL18 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cuba
probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
the United States
probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
the Bahamas
probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nueva Gerona (21.9 N, 82.8 W)
probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
Santa Clara (22.4 N, 80.0 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
Havana (23.0 N, 82.4 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 6:00 GMT
Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 27.1 N 128.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). SAOLA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SELMA
NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 9:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SELMA is currently located near 13.0 N 88.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). SELMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
El Salvador
probability for TS is 65% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
Friday, October 27, 2017
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AL18
N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 3:00 GMT
Tropical Storm AL18 is currently located near 18.2 N 84.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). AL18 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cuba
probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Santa Clara (22.4 N, 80.0 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 0:00 GMT
Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 25.5 N 128.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). SAOLA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SAOLA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2017 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SAOLA is currently located near 24.0 N 128.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SAOLA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2017 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SAOLA is currently located near 23.7 N 128.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SAOLA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2017 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SAOLA is currently located near 22.4 N 128.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
Thursday, October 26, 2017
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SAOLA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2017 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SAOLA is currently located near 21.7 N 129.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SAOLA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2017 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SAOLA is currently located near 20.5 N 130.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 96 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 96 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 96 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 96 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 96 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SAOLA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2017 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SAOLA is currently located near 19.4 N 131.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 96 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 96 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).