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Tuesday, October 31, 2017

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI SUPPLEMENT STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 2
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0312 UTC WED NOV 1 2017

..PTWC TSUNAMI SUPPLEMENT STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THE TSUNAMI FORECAST IS UNCHANGED IN THIS MESSAGE.

NOTE THE DOWNGRADED MAGNITUDE AND OBSERVATIONS.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.6
* ORIGIN TIME 0224 UTC NOV 1 2017
* COORDINATES 21.6 SOUTH 168.7 EAST
* DEPTH 14 KM / 9 MILES
* LOCATION LOYALTY ISLANDS


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.6 OCCURRED IN
THE LOYALTY ISLANDS AT 0224 UTC ON WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 1
2017.

* SMALL TSUNAMI WAVES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* PERSONS ALONG COASTAL AREAS NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE SHOULD BE
OBSERVANT AND EXERCISE NORMAL CAUTION. OTHERWISE... NO
ACTION IS REQUIRED.


TSUNAMI OBSERVATIONS
--------------------

* THE FOLLOWING ARE TSUNAMI WAVE OBSERVATIONS FROM COASTAL
AND/OR DEEP-OCEAN SEA LEVEL GAUGES AT THE INDICATED
LOCATIONS. THE MAXIMUM TSUNAMI HEIGHT IS MEASURED WITH
RESPECT TO THE NORMAL TIDE LEVEL.

GAUGE TIME OF MAXIMUM WAVE
COORDINATES MEASURE TSUNAMI PERIOD
GAUGE LOCATION LAT LON (UTC) HEIGHT (MIN)
-------------------------------------------------------------
LIFOU NEW CALEDONIA 20.9S 167.3E 0250 0.02M/ 0.1FT 06
LENAKEL VU 19.5S 169.3E 0256 0.10M/ 0.3FT 04
MARE NEW CALEDONIA 21.5S 167.9E 0249 0.06M/ 0.2FT 04


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
NEW INFORMATION IS RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement

WEAK53 PAAQ 010232
TIBAK1

Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
732 PM PDT Tue Oct 31 2017

..THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA, BRITISH
COLUMBIA, WASHINGTON, OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...

EVALUATION
----------
* There is no tsunami danger for the U.S. West Coast, British
Columbia, or Alaska.

* Based on earthquake information and historic tsunami records,
the earthquake is not expected to generate a tsunami.

* An earthquake has occurred with parameters listed below.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment and changes may occur.

* Magnitude 6.8
* Origin Time 1824 AKDT Oct 31 2017
1924 PDT Oct 31 2017
0224 UTC Nov 01 2017
* Coordinates 21.6 South 168.7 East
* Depth 9 miles
* Location near the Loyalty Islands


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Refer to the internet site tsunami.gov for more information.

* Pacific coastal regions outside California, Oregon, Washington,
British Columbia, and Alaska should refer to the Pacific Tsunami
Warning Center messages at tsunami.gov.

* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0231 UTC WED NOV 1 2017

..PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.8
* ORIGIN TIME 0224 UTC NOV 1 2017
* COORDINATES 21.6 SOUTH 168.7 EAST
* DEPTH 14 KM / 9 MILES
* LOCATION LOYALTY ISLANDS


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.8 OCCURRED IN
THE LOYALTY ISLANDS AT 0224 UTC ON WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 1
2017.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.

$$

Monday, October 30, 2017

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI SUPPLEMENT STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 2
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0136 UTC TUE OCT 31 2017

..PTWC TSUNAMI SUPPLEMENT STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.0
* ORIGIN TIME 0042 UTC OCT 31 2017
* COORDINATES 21.7 SOUTH 169.0 EAST
* DEPTH 15 KM / 9 MILES
* LOCATION SOUTHEAST OF LOYALTY ISLANDS


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.0 OCCURRED
SOUTHEAST OF THE LOYALTY ISLANDS AT 0042 UTC ON TUESDAY
OCTOBER 31 2017.

* SMALL TSUNAMI WAVES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED.

* 9 CM AMPLITUDE AT LIFOU NEW CALEDONIA
13 CM AMPLITUDE AT MARE NEW CALEDONIA
10 CM AMPLITUDE AT LENAKEL VANUATU


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* PERSONS ALONG COASTAL AREAS NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE SHOULD BE
OBSERVANT AND EXERCISE NORMAL CAUTION. OTHERWISE... NO
ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
NEW INFORMATION IS RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement

WEAK53 PAAQ 310049
TIBAK1

Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
549 PM PDT Mon Oct 30 2017

..THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA, BRITISH
COLUMBIA, WASHINGTON, OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...

EVALUATION
----------
* There is no tsunami danger for the U.S. West Coast, British
Columbia, or Alaska.

* Based on earthquake information and historic tsunami records,
the earthquake is not expected to generate a tsunami.

* An earthquake has occurred with parameters listed below.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment and changes may occur.

* Magnitude 7.0
* Origin Time 1642 AKDT Oct 30 2017
1742 PDT Oct 30 2017
0042 UTC Oct 31 2017
* Coordinates 21.7 South 169.0 East
* Depth 9 miles
* Location in the Loyalty Islands region


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Refer to the internet site tsunami.gov for more information.

* Pacific coastal regions outside California, Oregon, Washington,
British Columbia, and Alaska should refer to the Pacific Tsunami
Warning Center messages at tsunami.gov.

* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0046 UTC TUE OCT 31 2017

..PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.0
* ORIGIN TIME 0042 UTC OCT 31 2017
* COORDINATES 21.7 SOUTH 169.0 EAST
* DEPTH 15 KM / 9 MILES
* LOCATION SOUTHEAST OF LOYALTY ISLANDS


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.0 OCCURRED
SOUTHEAST OF THE LOYALTY ISLANDS AT 0042 UTC ON TUESDAY
OCTOBER 31 2017.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.

$$

Sunday, October 29, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PHILIPPE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2017 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PHILIPPE is currently located near 27.8 N 77.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). PHILIPPE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for TS is 75% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2017 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm SAOLA is currently located near 34.4 N 140.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Russian Federation
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PHILIPPE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2017 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PHILIPPE is currently located near 25.0 N 81.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). PHILIPPE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SAOLA is currently located near 32.6 N 135.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Saturday, October 28, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PHILIPPE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2017 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PHILIPPE is currently located near 24.8 N 82.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). PHILIPPE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Canada
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Cuba
        probability for TS is 55% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Key West (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Bangor (44.5 N, 68.5 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Augusta (44.3 N, 69.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2017 0:00 GMT

Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 31.4 N 132.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). SAOLA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PHILIPPE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PHILIPPE is currently located near 23.0 N 82.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). PHILIPPE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the United States
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    Canada
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Havana (23.0 N, 82.4 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Key West (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Nueva Gerona (21.9 N, 82.8 W)
        probability for TS is 65% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 18:00 GMT

Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 30.2 N 131.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). SAOLA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL18

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 15:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL18 is currently located near 20.8 N 82.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL18 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    the United States
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    the Cayman Islands
        probability for TS is 60% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santa Clara (22.4 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    Nueva Gerona (21.9 N, 82.8 W)
        probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression SELMA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 15:00 GMT

Tropical Depression SELMA is currently located near 13.7 N 88.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). SELMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Honduras
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    El Salvador
        probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Salvador (13.7 N, 89.2 W)
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 12:00 GMT

Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 28.5 N 129.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). SAOLA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Russian Federation
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL18

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 9:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL18 is currently located near 19.6 N 84.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL18 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    the United States
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nueva Gerona (21.9 N, 82.8 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Santa Clara (22.4 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Havana (23.0 N, 82.4 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 6:00 GMT

Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 27.1 N 128.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). SAOLA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SELMA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SELMA is currently located near 13.0 N 88.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). SELMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    El Salvador
        probability for TS is 65% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Friday, October 27, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AL18

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm AL18 is currently located near 18.2 N 84.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). AL18 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santa Clara (22.4 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 0:00 GMT

Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 25.5 N 128.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). SAOLA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SAOLA is currently located near 24.0 N 128.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    the Russian Federation
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2017 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SAOLA is currently located near 23.7 N 128.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    the Russian Federation
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SAOLA is currently located near 22.4 N 128.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Thursday, October 26, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2017 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SAOLA is currently located near 21.7 N 129.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SAOLA is currently located near 20.5 N 130.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 96 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 96 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 96 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 96 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 96 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2017 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SAOLA is currently located near 19.4 N 131.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 96 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 96 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).