Pages

Monday, December 31, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PENNY

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Jan, 2019 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PENNY is currently located near 12.6 S 141.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). PENNY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Papua New Guinea
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Bamaga (10.9 S, 142.6 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Weipa (12.6 S, 142.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Coen (13.9 S, 143.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Alotau (10.3 S, 150.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm EIGHT

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Dec, 2018 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm EIGHT is currently located near 12.7 S 140.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). EIGHT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Papua New Guinea
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Bamaga (10.9 S, 142.6 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Weipa (12.6 S, 142.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Coen (13.9 S, 143.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Edward River (15.0 S, 141.7 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Port Moresby (9.5 S, 147.2 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Alotau (10.3 S, 150.4 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Daru (9.1 S, 143.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Cooktown (15.4 S, 145.1 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm EIGHT

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Dec, 2018 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm EIGHT is currently located near 12.5 S 140.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). EIGHT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Papua New Guinea
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Weipa (12.6 S, 142.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Bamaga (10.9 S, 142.6 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Coen (13.9 S, 143.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Edward River (15.0 S, 141.7 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Cooktown (15.4 S, 145.1 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Port Moresby (9.5 S, 147.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm EIGHT

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Dec, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm EIGHT is currently located near 12.5 S 139.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). EIGHT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Papua New Guinea
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Indonesia
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Weipa (12.6 S, 142.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Bamaga (10.9 S, 142.6 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Coen (13.9 S, 143.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Cooktown (15.4 S, 145.1 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Sunday, December 30, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm EIGHT

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Dec, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm EIGHT is currently located near 12.8 S 139.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). EIGHT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Papua New Guinea
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Weipa (12.6 S, 142.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Bamaga (10.9 S, 142.6 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Coen (13.9 S, 143.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Edward River (15.0 S, 141.7 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Cooktown (15.4 S, 145.1 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Port Douglas (16.4 S, 145.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Cairns (16.9 S, 145.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Kowanyama (15.8 S, 141.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Port Moresby (9.5 S, 147.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Innisfail (17.5 S, 146.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 120 hours
    Alotau (10.3 S, 150.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Friday, December 28, 2018

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC FINAL TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE

TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 3
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0507 UTC SAT DEC 29 2018

..PTWC FINAL TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THE TSUNAMI FORECAST IS UNCHANGED IN THIS MESSAGE.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.2
* ORIGIN TIME 0339 UTC DEC 29 2018
* COORDINATES 5.8 NORTH 126.9 EAST
* DEPTH 49 KM / 31 MILES
* LOCATION MINDANAO PHILIPPINES


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.2 OCCURRED IN
MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES AT 0339 UTC ON SATURDAY DECEMBER 29
2018.

* NO TSUNAMI OBSERVED AT NEAREST SEA-LEVEL STATIONS.


TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST...UPDATED
---------------------------------

* THERE IS NO LONGER A TSUNAMI THREAT FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* REMAIN OBSERVANT AND EXERCISE NORMAL CAUTION NEAR THE SEA.
OTHERWISE... NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* MINOR SEA LEVEL FLUCTUATIONS MAY OCCUR IN SOME COASTAL AREAS
NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
NEW INFORMATION IS RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE

TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 2
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0410 UTC SAT DEC 29 2018

..PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THE TSUNAMI FORECAST IS UPDATED IN THIS MESSAGE.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.2
* ORIGIN TIME 0339 UTC DEC 29 2018
* COORDINATES 5.8 NORTH 126.9 EAST
* DEPTH 49 KM / 31 MILES
* LOCATION MINDANAO PHILIPPINES


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.2 OCCURRED IN
MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES AT 0339 UTC ON SATURDAY DECEMBER 29
2018.


TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST...UPDATED
---------------------------------

* TSUNAMI WAVES ARE FORECAST TO BE LESS THAN 0.3 METERS ABOVE
THE TIDE LEVEL FOR THE COASTS OF

INDONESIA... PALAU... AND PHILIPPINES.


* ACTUAL AMPLITUDES AT THE COAST MAY VARY FROM FORECAST
AMPLITUDES DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES IN THE FORECAST AND LOCAL
FEATURES. IN PARTICULAR MAXIMUM TSUNAMI AMPLITUDES ON ATOLLS
AND AT LOCATIONS WITH FRINGING OR BARRIER REEFS WILL LIKELY
BE MUCH SMALLER THAN THE FORECAST INDICATES.

* FOR OTHER AREAS COVERED BY THIS PRODUCT A FORECAST HAS NOT
YET BEEN COMPUTED. THE FORECAST WILL BE EXPANDED IF
NECESSARY IN SUBSEQUENT PRODUCTS.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* GOVERNMENT AGENCIES RESPONSIBLE FOR THREATENED COASTAL AREAS
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO INFORM AND INSTRUCT ANY COASTAL
POPULATIONS AT RISK IN ACCORDANCE WITH THEIR OWN
EVALUATION... PROCEDURES AND THE LEVEL OF THREAT.

* PERSONS LOCATED IN THREATENED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD STAY ALERT
FOR INFORMATION AND FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM NATIONAL AND
LOCAL AUTHORITIES.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES. THE TIME BETWEEN WAVE CRESTS
CAN VARY FROM 5 MINUTES TO AN HOUR. THE HAZARD MAY PERSIST
FOR MANY HOURS OR LONGER AFTER THE INITIAL WAVE.

* IMPACTS CAN VARY SIGNIFICANTLY FROM ONE SECTION OF COAST TO
THE NEXT DUE TO LOCAL BATHYMETRY AND THE SHAPE AND ELEVATION
OF THE SHORELINE.

* IMPACTS CAN ALSO VARY DEPENDING UPON THE STATE OF THE TIDE AT
THE TIME OF THE MAXIMUM TSUNAMI WAVES.

* PERSONS CAUGHT IN THE WATER OF A TSUNAMI MAY DROWN... BE
CRUSHED BY DEBRIS IN THE WATER... OR BE SWEPT OUT TO SEA.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THE NEXT MESSAGE WILL BE ISSUED IN ONE HOUR... OR SOONER IF
THE SITUATION WARRANTS.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE

TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0345 UTC SAT DEC 29 2018

..PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.2
* ORIGIN TIME 0339 UTC DEC 29 2018
* COORDINATES 5.8 NORTH 126.9 EAST
* DEPTH 49 KM / 31 MILES
* LOCATION MINDANAO PHILIPPINES


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.2 OCCURRED IN
MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES AT 0339 UTC ON SATURDAY DECEMBER 29
2018.

* BASED ON THE PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS... HAZARDOUS
TSUNAMI WAVES ARE POSSIBLE FOR COASTS LOCATED WITHIN 300 KM
OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER.


TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST
-----------------------

* HAZARDOUS TSUNAMI WAVES FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN 300 KM OF THE EPICENTER ALONG THE COASTS OF

INDONESIA AND PHILIPPINES


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* GOVERNMENT AGENCIES RESPONSIBLE FOR THREATENED COASTAL AREAS
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO INFORM AND INSTRUCT ANY COASTAL
POPULATIONS AT RISK IN ACCORDANCE WITH THEIR OWN
EVALUATION... PROCEDURES AND THE LEVEL OF THREAT.

* PERSONS LOCATED IN THREATENED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD STAY ALERT
FOR INFORMATION AND FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM NATIONAL AND
LOCAL AUTHORITIES.


ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL
--------------------------

* ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL -ETA- OF THE INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE
FOR PLACES WITH A POTENTIAL TSUNAMI THREAT. ACTUAL ARRIVAL
TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.

LOCATION REGION COORDINATES ETA(UTC)
------------------------------------------------------------
GEME INDONESIA 4.6N 126.8E 0355 12/29
DAVAO PHILIPPINES 6.8N 125.7E 0403 12/29
TABUKAN TENGAH INDONESIA 3.6N 125.6E 0420 12/29


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES. THE TIME BETWEEN WAVE CRESTS
CAN VARY FROM 5 MINUTES TO AN HOUR. THE HAZARD MAY PERSIST
FOR MANY HOURS OR LONGER AFTER THE INITIAL WAVE.

* IMPACTS CAN VARY SIGNIFICANTLY FROM ONE SECTION OF COAST TO
THE NEXT DUE TO LOCAL BATHYMETRY AND THE SHAPE AND ELEVATION
OF THE SHORELINE.

* IMPACTS CAN ALSO VARY DEPENDING UPON THE STATE OF THE TIDE AT
THE TIME OF THE MAXIMUM TSUNAMI WAVES.

* PERSONS CAUGHT IN THE WATER OF A TSUNAMI MAY DROWN... BE
CRUSHED BY DEBRIS IN THE WATER... OR BE SWEPT OUT TO SEA.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THE NEXT MESSAGE WILL BE ISSUED IN ONE HOUR... OR SOONER IF
THE SITUATION WARRANTS.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE is currently located near 11.9 N 124.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). THIRTYFIVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Dec, 2018 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE is currently located near 11.7 N 126.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). THIRTYFIVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 55% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Dec, 2018 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE is currently located near 11.1 N 127.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). THIRTYFIVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Dec, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE is currently located near 10.9 N 127.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). THIRTYFIVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Thursday, December 27, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Dec, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE is currently located near 10.7 N 128.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). THIRTYFIVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Dec, 2018 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE is currently located near 10.8 N 128.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 25kts (29 mph). THIRTYFIVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Dec, 2018 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE is currently located near 10.6 N 129.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 25kts (29 mph). THIRTYFIVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Dec, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE is currently located near 10.4 N 129.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 25kts (29 mph). THIRTYFIVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Wednesday, December 26, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Dec, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE is currently located near 10.6 N 129.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 25kts (29 mph). THIRTYFIVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Dec, 2018 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE is currently located near 10.3 N 130.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 25kts (29 mph). THIRTYFIVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Dec, 2018 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE is currently located near 10.0 N 130.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 25kts (29 mph). THIRTYFIVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Dec, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE is currently located near 9.8 N 132.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 25kts (29 mph). THIRTYFIVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Tuesday, December 25, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Dec, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE is currently located near 9.8 N 133.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 25kts (29 mph). THIRTYFIVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Monday, December 24, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Dec, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression THIRTYFIVE is currently located near 7.5 N 135.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 25kts (29 mph). THIRTYFIVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Sunday, December 23, 2018

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
2316 UTC SUN DEC 23 2018

..PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.5
* ORIGIN TIME 2309 UTC DEC 23 2018
* COORDINATES 20.5 SOUTH 174.9 WEST
* DEPTH 106 KM / 66 MILES
* LOCATION TONGA


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.5 OCCURRED IN
THE TONGA ISLANDS AT 2309 UTC ON SUNDAY DECEMBER 23 2018.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

Friday, December 21, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC CILIDA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Dec, 2018 18:00 GMT

Very Intense TC CILIDA is currently located near 15.6 S 57.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 130 kts (150 mph). CILIDA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CILIDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Thursday, December 20, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone CILIDA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Dec, 2018 0:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone CILIDA is currently located near 14.2 S 58.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). CILIDA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CILIDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone CILIDA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Dec, 2018 18:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone CILIDA is currently located near 13.8 S 58.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). CILIDA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CILIDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC FINAL TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE

TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 3
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
1824 UTC THU DEC 20 2018

..PTWC FINAL TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THE TSUNAMI FORECAST IS UNCHANGED IN THIS MESSAGE.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.3
* ORIGIN TIME 1702 UTC DEC 20 2018
* COORDINATES 54.8 NORTH 164.8 EAST
* DEPTH 33 KM / 20 MILES
* LOCATION KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA RUSSIA REGION


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.3 OCCURRED IN
THE KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA, RUSSIA REGION AT 1702 UTC ON
THURSDAY DECEMBER 20 2018.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THE TSUNAMI THREAT FROM THIS
EARTHQUAKE HAS NOW PASSED.


TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST...UPDATED
---------------------------------

* THERE IS NO LONGER A TSUNAMI THREAT FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* REMAIN OBSERVANT AND EXERCISE NORMAL CAUTION NEAR THE SEA.
OTHERWISE... NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* MINOR SEA LEVEL FLUCTUATIONS MAY OCCUR IN SOME COASTAL AREAS
NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
NEW INFORMATION IS RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE

TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 2
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
1749 UTC THU DEC 20 2018

..PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THE TSUNAMI FORECAST IS UPDATED IN THIS MESSAGE.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.3
* ORIGIN TIME 1702 UTC DEC 20 2018
* COORDINATES 54.8 NORTH 164.8 EAST
* DEPTH 33 KM / 20 MILES
* LOCATION KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA RUSSIA REGION


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.3 OCCURRED IN
THE KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA, RUSSIA REGION AT 1702 UTC ON
THURSDAY DECEMBER 20 2018.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... HAZARDOUS TSUNAMI WAVES ARE
FORECAST FOR SOME COASTS.


TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST...UPDATED
---------------------------------

* TSUNAMI WAVES REACHING 0.3 TO 1 METERS ABOVE THE TIDE LEVEL
ARE POSSIBLE FOR SOME COASTS OF

RUSSIA.

* ACTUAL AMPLITUDES AT THE COAST MAY VARY FROM FORECAST
AMPLITUDES DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES IN THE FORECAST AND LOCAL
FEATURES. IN PARTICULAR MAXIMUM TSUNAMI AMPLITUDES ON ATOLLS
AND AT LOCATIONS WITH FRINGING OR BARRIER REEFS WILL LIKELY
BE MUCH SMALLER THAN THE FORECAST INDICATES.

* FOR OTHER AREAS COVERED BY THIS PRODUCT A FORECAST HAS NOT
YET BEEN COMPUTED. THE FORECAST WILL BE EXPANDED IF
NECESSARY IN SUBSEQUENT PRODUCTS.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* GOVERNMENT AGENCIES RESPONSIBLE FOR THREATENED COASTAL AREAS
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO INFORM AND INSTRUCT ANY COASTAL
POPULATIONS AT RISK IN ACCORDANCE WITH THEIR OWN
EVALUATION... PROCEDURES AND THE LEVEL OF THREAT.

* PERSONS LOCATED IN THREATENED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD STAY ALERT
FOR INFORMATION AND FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM NATIONAL AND
LOCAL AUTHORITIES.


ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL
--------------------------

* ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL -ETA- OF THE INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE
FOR PLACES WITHIN THREATENED REGIONS ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL
ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.

LOCATION REGION COORDINATES ETA(UTC)
------------------------------------------------------------
UST KAMCHATSK RUSSIA 56.1N 162.6E 1723 12/20
MEDNNY ISLAND RUSSIA 54.7N 167.4E 1742 12/20
OSTROV KARAGINS RUSSIA 58.8N 164.5E 1747 12/20
PETROPAVLOVSK RUSSIA 53.2N 159.6E 1759 12/20


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES. THE TIME BETWEEN WAVE CRESTS
CAN VARY FROM 5 MINUTES TO AN HOUR. THE HAZARD MAY PERSIST
FOR MANY HOURS OR LONGER AFTER THE INITIAL WAVE.

* IMPACTS CAN VARY SIGNIFICANTLY FROM ONE SECTION OF COAST TO
THE NEXT DUE TO LOCAL BATHYMETRY AND THE SHAPE AND ELEVATION
OF THE SHORELINE.

* IMPACTS CAN ALSO VARY DEPENDING UPON THE STATE OF THE TIDE AT
THE TIME OF THE MAXIMUM TSUNAMI WAVES.

* PERSONS CAUGHT IN THE WATER OF A TSUNAMI MAY DROWN... BE
CRUSHED BY DEBRIS IN THE WATER... OR BE SWEPT OUT TO SEA.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THE NEXT MESSAGE WILL BE ISSUED IN ONE HOUR... OR SOONER IF
THE SITUATION WARRANTS.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE

TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
1711 UTC THU DEC 20 2018

..PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.3
* ORIGIN TIME 1702 UTC DEC 20 2018
* COORDINATES 54.8 NORTH 164.8 EAST
* DEPTH 33 KM / 20 MILES
* LOCATION KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA RUSSIA REGION


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.3 OCCURRED IN
THE KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA, RUSSIA REGION AT 1702 UTC ON
THURSDAY DECEMBER 20 2018.

* BASED ON THE PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS... HAZARDOUS
TSUNAMI WAVES ARE POSSIBLE FOR COASTS LOCATED WITHIN 300 KM
OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER.


TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST
-----------------------

* HAZARDOUS TSUNAMI WAVES FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN 300 KM OF THE EPICENTER ALONG THE COASTS OF

RUSSIA.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* GOVERNMENT AGENCIES RESPONSIBLE FOR THREATENED COASTAL AREAS
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO INFORM AND INSTRUCT ANY COASTAL
POPULATIONS AT RISK IN ACCORDANCE WITH THEIR OWN
EVALUATION... PROCEDURES AND THE LEVEL OF THREAT.

* PERSONS LOCATED IN THREATENED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD STAY ALERT
FOR INFORMATION AND FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM NATIONAL AND
LOCAL AUTHORITIES.


ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL
--------------------------

* ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL -ETA- OF THE INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE
FOR PLACES WITH A POTENTIAL TSUNAMI THREAT. ACTUAL ARRIVAL
TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.

LOCATION REGION COORDINATES ETA(UTC)
------------------------------------------------------------
UST KAMCHATSK RUSSIA 56.1N 162.6E 1725 12/20
MEDNNY ISLAND RUSSIA 54.7N 167.4E 1736 12/20


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES. THE TIME BETWEEN WAVE CRESTS
CAN VARY FROM 5 MINUTES TO AN HOUR. THE HAZARD MAY PERSIST
FOR MANY HOURS OR LONGER AFTER THE INITIAL WAVE.

* IMPACTS CAN VARY SIGNIFICANTLY FROM ONE SECTION OF COAST TO
THE NEXT DUE TO LOCAL BATHYMETRY AND THE SHAPE AND ELEVATION
OF THE SHORELINE.

* IMPACTS CAN ALSO VARY DEPENDING UPON THE STATE OF THE TIDE AT
THE TIME OF THE MAXIMUM TSUNAMI WAVES.

* PERSONS CAUGHT IN THE WATER OF A TSUNAMI MAY DROWN... BE
CRUSHED BY DEBRIS IN THE WATER... OR BE SWEPT OUT TO SEA.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THE NEXT MESSAGE WILL BE ISSUED IN ONE HOUR... OR SOONER IF
THE SITUATION WARRANTS.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone CILIDA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Dec, 2018 12:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone CILIDA is currently located near 13.2 S 59.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). CILIDA is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CILIDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CILIDA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Dec, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CILIDA is currently located near 12.5 S 59.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). CILIDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Wednesday, December 19, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CILIDA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Dec, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CILIDA is currently located near 12.0 S 60.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). CILIDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CILIDA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Dec, 2018 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CILIDA is currently located near 11.8 S 60.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). CILIDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CILIDA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Dec, 2018 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CILIDA is currently located near 11.6 S 60.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). CILIDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CILIDA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Dec, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CILIDA is currently located near 11.0 S 60.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). CILIDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Tuesday, December 18, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SEVEN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Dec, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SEVEN is currently located near 10.7 S 60.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). SEVEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Monday, December 17, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression PHETHAI

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 Dec, 2018 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Depression PHETHAI is currently located near 17.3 N 82.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). PHETHAI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PHETHAI

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 Dec, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PHETHAI is currently located near 16.2 N 82.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). PHETHAI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).