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Wednesday, October 31, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm YUTU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Nov, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm YUTU is currently located near 19.5 N 116.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). YUTU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane OSCAR

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2018 21:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Hurricane OSCAR is currently located near 39.3 N 49.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). OSCAR is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OSCAR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Iceland
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    the Faeroe Islands
        probability for TS is 95% in about 93 hours
    Scotland
        probability for TS is 90% in about 93 hours
    Ireland
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Jan Mayen
        probability for TS is 75% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Torshavn (62.0 N, 6.8 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 93 hours
    Stornoway (58.3 N, 6.3 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 93 hours
    Portree (57.5 N, 6.2 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 93 hours
    Ullapool (58.0 N, 5.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 93 hours
    Lerwick (60.2 N, 1.2 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 93 hours
    Kirkwall (59.0 N, 3.0 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 93 hours
    Wick (58.5 N, 3.1 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 93 hours
    Reykjavik (64.1 N, 21.9 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Belmullet (54.2 N, 10.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Inverness (57.3 N, 4.3 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 93 hours
    Oban (56.3 N, 5.5 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 93 hours
    Ardara (54.8 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
    Sligo (54.3 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Galway (53.3 N, 9.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Dingle (52.2 N, 10.2 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Aberdeen (57.2 N, 2.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours
    Dundee (56.5 N, 3.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours
    Glasgow (55.9 N, 4.3 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm YUTU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2018 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm YUTU is currently located near 18.9 N 117.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). YUTU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane OSCAR

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2018 15:00 GMT

Hurricane OSCAR is currently located near 36.6 N 51.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). OSCAR is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OSCAR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Faeroe Islands
        probability for TS is 95% in about 93 hours
    Iceland
        probability for TS is 90% in about 93 hours
    Scotland
        probability for TS is 90% in about 93 hours
    Ireland
        probability for TS is 75% in about 93 hours
    Northern Ireland
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Torshavn (62.0 N, 6.8 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 93 hours
    Stornoway (58.3 N, 6.3 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 93 hours
    Ullapool (58.0 N, 5.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 93 hours
    Portree (57.5 N, 6.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 93 hours
    Lerwick (60.2 N, 1.2 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 93 hours
    Kirkwall (59.0 N, 3.0 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 93 hours
    Wick (58.5 N, 3.1 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 93 hours
    Belmullet (54.2 N, 10.0 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 93 hours
    Inverness (57.3 N, 4.3 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 93 hours
    Oban (56.3 N, 5.5 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 93 hours
    Ardara (54.8 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 93 hours
    Reykjavik (64.1 N, 21.9 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
    Sligo (54.3 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
    Aberdeen (57.2 N, 2.1 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
    Dundee (56.5 N, 3.0 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
    Glasgow (55.9 N, 4.3 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
    Stranraer (55.0 N, 5.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours
    Belfast (54.6 N, 5.9 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours
    Galway (53.3 N, 9.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm YUTU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2018 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm YUTU is currently located near 18.4 N 117.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). YUTU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    China
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane OSCAR

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2018 9:00 GMT

Hurricane OSCAR is currently located near 34.1 N 53.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). OSCAR is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OSCAR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Iceland
        probability for TS is 90% in about 93 hours
    the Faeroe Islands
        probability for TS is 90% in about 93 hours
    Scotland
        probability for TS is 85% in about 93 hours
    Ireland
        probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
    Northern Ireland
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Torshavn (62.0 N, 6.8 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 93 hours
    Stornoway (58.3 N, 6.3 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 93 hours
    Portree (57.5 N, 6.2 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 93 hours
    Ullapool (58.0 N, 5.2 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 93 hours
    Belmullet (54.2 N, 10.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 93 hours
    Reykjavik (64.1 N, 21.9 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
    Ardara (54.8 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
    Oban (56.3 N, 5.5 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
    Sligo (54.3 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
    Inverness (57.3 N, 4.3 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
    Wick (58.5 N, 3.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours
    Belfast (54.6 N, 5.9 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours
    Galway (53.3 N, 9.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm YUTU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm YUTU is currently located near 18.1 N 117.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). YUTU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    China
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Tuesday, October 30, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane OSCAR

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2018 3:00 GMT

Hurricane OSCAR is currently located near 32.8 N 55.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). OSCAR is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OSCAR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Iceland
        probability for TS is 90% in about 93 hours
    the Faeroe Islands
        probability for TS is 80% in about 93 hours
    Scotland
        probability for TS is 80% in about 93 hours
    Ireland
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
    Northern Ireland
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Torshavn (62.0 N, 6.8 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 93 hours
    Stornoway (58.3 N, 6.3 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 93 hours
    Portree (57.5 N, 6.2 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
    Belmullet (54.2 N, 10.0 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
    Reykjavik (64.1 N, 21.9 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
    Ardara (54.8 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
    Ullapool (58.0 N, 5.2 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
    Sligo (54.3 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
    Oban (56.3 N, 5.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours
    Galway (53.3 N, 9.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm YUTU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm YUTU is currently located near 17.4 N 118.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). YUTU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    China
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane OSCAR

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2018 21:00 GMT

Hurricane OSCAR is currently located near 31.3 N 56.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). OSCAR is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OSCAR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Iceland
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Belmullet (54.2 N, 10.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm YUTU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2018 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm YUTU is currently located near 16.6 N 118.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). YUTU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    China
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm YUTU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2018 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm YUTU is currently located near 16.6 N 118.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). YUTU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    China
        probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane OSCAR

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2018 15:00 GMT

Hurricane OSCAR is currently located near 29.7 N 57.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). OSCAR is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OSCAR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Iceland
        probability for TS is 65% in about 117 hours
    the Faeroe Islands
        probability for TS is 65% in about 117 hours
    Scotland
        probability for TS is 60% in about 117 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Torshavn (62.0 N, 6.8 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 117 hours
    Stornoway (58.3 N, 6.3 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 117 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane OSCAR

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2018 9:00 GMT

Hurricane OSCAR is currently located near 28.6 N 58.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). OSCAR is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OSCAR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Iceland
        probability for TS is 60% in about 117 hours
    the Faeroe Islands
        probability for TS is 60% in about 117 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Torshavn (62.0 N, 6.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 117 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon YUTU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2018 6:00 GMT

Typhoon YUTU is currently located near 16.8 N 120.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). YUTU is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. YUTU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Macau
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Monday, October 29, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane OSCAR

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2018 3:00 GMT

Hurricane OSCAR is currently located near 27.4 N 58.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). OSCAR is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OSCAR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Faeroe Islands
        probability for TS is 60% in about 117 hours
    Iceland
        probability for TS is 55% in about 117 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Torshavn (62.0 N, 6.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 117 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon YUTU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2018 0:00 GMT

Typhoon YUTU is currently located near 16.8 N 121.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). YUTU is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. YUTU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon YUTU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2018 18:00 GMT

Typhoon YUTU is currently located near 16.8 N 123.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). YUTU is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. YUTU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 96 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon YUTU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2018 12:00 GMT

Typhoon YUTU is currently located near 16.7 N 124.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). YUTU is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. YUTU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon YUTU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2018 6:00 GMT

Typhoon YUTU is currently located near 16.8 N 125.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). YUTU is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. YUTU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Sunday, October 28, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon YUTU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2018 0:00 GMT

Typhoon YUTU is currently located near 16.9 N 126.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). YUTU is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. YUTU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon YUTU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2018 18:00 GMT

Typhoon YUTU is currently located near 17.4 N 127.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). YUTU is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. YUTU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 60% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon YUTU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2018 12:00 GMT

Typhoon YUTU is currently located near 17.7 N 128.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). YUTU is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. YUTU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon YUTU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2018 6:00 GMT

Typhoon YUTU is currently located near 17.9 N 129.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 130 kts (150 mph). YUTU is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. YUTU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Saturday, October 27, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon YUTU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2018 0:00 GMT

Typhoon YUTU is currently located near 18.0 N 130.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 130 kts (150 mph). YUTU is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. YUTU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 80% in about 96 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 96 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Macau
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 96 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon YUTU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2018 18:00 GMT

Typhoon YUTU is currently located near 18.0 N 131.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 135 kts (155 mph). YUTU is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. YUTU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 96 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon YUTU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2018 12:00 GMT

Typhoon YUTU is currently located near 17.9 N 132.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 130 kts (150 mph). YUTU is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. YUTU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).