NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Dec, 2019 0:00 GMT
Typhoon KAMMURI is currently located near 13.2 N 131.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). KAMMURI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KAMMURI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).