NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Dec, 2019 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm PHANFONE is currently located near 7.9 N 138.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). PHANFONE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s) the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s) Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
