NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2021 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm RAI is currently located near 8.8 N 133.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). RAI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s) the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s) San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s) Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s) Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Bonobono (8.7 N, 117.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
