TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ANIKA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 26 Feb, 2022 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ANIKA is currently located near 13.7 S 126.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). ANIKA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kalumburu (14.2 S, 126.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Lombadina (16.5 S, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
    Derby (17.3 S, 123.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
    Broome (18.0 S, 122.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Lagrange (18.7 S, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 72 hours
    Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
    Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ANIKA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 26 Feb, 2022 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ANIKA is currently located near 13.2 S 127.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). ANIKA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kalumburu (14.2 S, 126.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ANIKA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 26 Feb, 2022 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ANIKA is currently located near 13.0 S 127.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). ANIKA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kalumburu (14.2 S, 126.6 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ANIKA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Feb, 2022 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ANIKA is currently located near 13.0 S 127.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). ANIKA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kalumburu (14.2 S, 126.6 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FIFTEEN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Feb, 2022 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FIFTEEN is currently located near 12.8 S 127.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). FIFTEEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kalumburu (14.2 S, 126.6 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm EMNATI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Feb, 2022 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm EMNATI is currently located near 27.0 S 43.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). EMNATI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for TS is 95% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm EMNATI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Feb, 2022 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm EMNATI is currently located near 24.7 S 43.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). EMNATI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for TS is 95% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm EMNATI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Feb, 2022 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm EMNATI is currently located near 23.6 S 46.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). EMNATI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone EMNATI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 22 Feb, 2022 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone EMNATI is currently located near 21.6 S 48.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). EMNATI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. EMNATI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone EMNATI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 22 Feb, 2022 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone EMNATI is currently located near 19.8 S 50.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). EMNATI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. EMNATI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone EMNATI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Feb, 2022 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone EMNATI is currently located near 18.5 S 52.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). EMNATI is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. EMNATI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone EMNATI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Feb, 2022 6:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone EMNATI is currently located near 17.9 S 53.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). EMNATI is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. EMNATI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone EMNATI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Feb, 2022 18:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone EMNATI is currently located near 17.6 S 54.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). EMNATI is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. EMNATI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Reunion
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone EMNATI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Feb, 2022 6:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone EMNATI is currently located near 17.2 S 55.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). EMNATI is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. EMNATI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Reunion
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone EMNATI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2022 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone EMNATI is currently located near 16.9 S 57.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). EMNATI is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. EMNATI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    Reunion
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone EMNATI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2022 12:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone EMNATI is currently located near 16.4 S 58.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). EMNATI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. EMNATI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone EMNATI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2022 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone EMNATI is currently located near 16.0 S 59.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). EMNATI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. EMNATI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Reunion
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone EMNATI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 18 Feb, 2022 12:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone EMNATI is currently located near 14.4 S 61.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). EMNATI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. EMNATI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Reunion
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm EMNATI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 18 Feb, 2022 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm EMNATI is currently located near 13.4 S 63.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). EMNATI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm EMNATI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 Feb, 2022 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm EMNATI is currently located near 13.9 S 64.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). EMNATI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm EMNATI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 Feb, 2022 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm EMNATI is currently located near 14.2 S 67.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). EMNATI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Reunion
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm THIRTEEN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 16 Feb, 2022 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm THIRTEEN is currently located near 14.1 S 68.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). THIRTEEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Reunion
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI SUPPLEMENT STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 2
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
2050 UTC WED FEB 16 2022

..PTWC TSUNAMI SUPPLEMENT STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

NOTE THE EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE HAS BEEN CHANGED.
THE TSUNAMI FORECAST IS UNCHANGED IN THIS MESSAGE.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.9
* ORIGIN TIME 2021 UTC FEB 16 2022
* COORDINATES 23.8 SOUTH 179.7 WEST
* DEPTH 568 KM / 353 MILES
* LOCATION SOUTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.9 OCCURRED
SOUTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS AT 2021 UTC ON WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY
16 2022.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* PERSONS ALONG COASTAL AREAS NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE SHOULD BE
OBSERVANT AND EXERCISE NORMAL CAUTION. OTHERWISE... NO
ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
NEW INFORMATION IS RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
2029 UTC WED FEB 16 2022

..PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.6
* ORIGIN TIME 2021 UTC FEB 16 2022
* COORDINATES 23.8 SOUTH 179.7 WEST
* DEPTH 568 KM / 353 MILES
* LOCATION SOUTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.6 OCCURRED
SOUTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS AT 2021 UTC ON WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY
16 2022.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm DUMAKO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 15 Feb, 2022 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm DUMAKO is currently located near 17.1 S 48.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). DUMAKO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for TS is 85% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm DUMAKO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 15 Feb, 2022 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm DUMAKO is currently located near 16.9 S 50.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). DUMAKO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm DUMAKO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 14 Feb, 2022 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm DUMAKO is currently located near 16.7 S 53.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). DUMAKO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm DOVI

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 11 Feb, 2022 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm DOVI is currently located near 31.4 S 166.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). DOVI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    New Zealand
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Norfolk Island
        probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    New Plymouth (39.1 S, 174.1 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Auckland (36.9 S, 174.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Hamilton (37.8 S, 175.3 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Whangarei (35.7 S, 174.3 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Greymouth (42.5 S, 171.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Wellington (41.3 S, 174.8 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Kingston (29.1 S, 168.0 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Hastings (39.6 S, 176.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone DOVI

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 11 Feb, 2022 12:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone DOVI is currently located near 28.9 S 166.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). DOVI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DOVI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Norfolk Island
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    New Zealand
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (29.1 S, 168.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Whangarei (35.7 S, 174.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    New Plymouth (39.1 S, 174.1 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone DOVI

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 11 Feb, 2022 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone DOVI is currently located near 26.8 S 166.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). DOVI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DOVI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Norfolk Island
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    New Zealand
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (29.1 S, 168.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    New Plymouth (39.1 S, 174.1 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Auckland (36.9 S, 174.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Whangarei (35.7 S, 174.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Hamilton (37.8 S, 175.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone DOVI

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Feb, 2022 12:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone DOVI is currently located near 23.0 S 166.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). DOVI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DOVI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    New Caledonia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Norfolk Island
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Noum'ea (22.2 S, 166.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Tadine (21.5 S, 167.9 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Kingston (29.1 S, 168.0 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Bourail (21.6 S, 165.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).