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Monday, October 31, 2022

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LISA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 1 Nov, 2022 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LISA is currently located near 15.6 N 79.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). LISA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Honduras
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
    Belize
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
    Guatemala
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Roatan (16.3 N, 86.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 33 hours
    Belize City (17.5 N, 88.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
    Belmopan (17.1 N, 88.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Nov, 2022 0:00 GMT

Typhoon NALGAE is currently located near 19.1 N 116.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). NALGAE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Macau
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LISA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2022 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LISA is currently located near 15.5 N 78.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). LISA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Belize
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours
    Guatemala
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Belize City (17.5 N, 88.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours
    Chetumal (18.5 N, 88.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
    Belmopan (17.1 N, 88.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2022 18:00 GMT

Typhoon NALGAE is currently located near 18.6 N 116.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). NALGAE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Macau
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2022 12:00 GMT

Typhoon NALGAE is currently located near 18.0 N 116.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). NALGAE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Macau
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AL15

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2022 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm AL15 is currently located near 15.8 N 76.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). AL15 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Jamaica
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    Belize
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    Guatemala
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    Honduras
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% within 9 hours
    Chetumal (18.5 N, 88.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    Belize City (17.5 N, 88.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    Belmopan (17.1 N, 88.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    San Pedro Sula (15.5 N, 88.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2022 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NALGAE is currently located near 17.3 N 116.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Sunday, October 30, 2022

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2022 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NALGAE is currently located near 16.6 N 117.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Macau
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AL15

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2022 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm AL15 is currently located near 15.8 N 74.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). AL15 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Jamaica
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Honduras
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 45 hours
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    Belize
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    Guatemala
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
    Belize City (17.5 N, 88.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    Roatan (16.3 N, 86.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    Chetumal (18.5 N, 88.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    Belmopan (17.1 N, 88.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    San Pedro Sula (15.5 N, 88.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TWENTYSEVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2022 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TWENTYSEVEN is currently located near 7.8 N 134.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). TWENTYSEVEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AL15

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2022 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm AL15 is currently located near 15.7 N 73.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). AL15 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Jamaica
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
    Honduras
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Roatan (16.3 N, 86.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2022 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NALGAE is currently located near 16.3 N 117.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    China
        probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2022 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NALGAE is currently located near 15.0 N 117.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2022 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NALGAE is currently located near 15.4 N 117.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Macau
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Saturday, October 29, 2022

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2022 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NALGAE is currently located near 16.3 N 118.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    China
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Macau
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2022 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NALGAE is currently located near 15.8 N 120.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2022 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NALGAE is currently located near 14.3 N 120.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Macau
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 120 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2022 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NALGAE is currently located near 13.9 N 121.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Friday, October 28, 2022

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2022 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NALGAE is currently located near 13.6 N 122.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2022 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NALGAE is currently located near 14.1 N 123.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2022 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NALGAE is currently located near 13.1 N 125.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2022 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NALGAE is currently located near 12.5 N 126.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 72 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Thursday, October 27, 2022

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2022 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NALGAE is currently located near 12.1 N 128.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 72 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2022 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NALGAE is currently located near 12.1 N 129.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2022 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression NALGAE is currently located near 12.1 N 130.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2022 6:00 GMT

Tropical Depression NALGAE is currently located near 12.2 N 130.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Wednesday, October 26, 2022

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYSIX

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2022 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYSIX is currently located near 12.6 N 130.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 25kts (29 mph). TWENTYSIX is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Tuesday, October 25, 2022

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
1506 UTC TUE OCT 25 2022

..PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.8
* ORIGIN TIME 1459 UTC OCT 25 2022
* COORDINATES 17.9 NORTH 120.6 EAST
* DEPTH 10 KM / 6 MILES
* LOCATION LUZON PHILIPPINES


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.8 OCCURRED IN
LUZON, PHILIPPINES AT 1459 UTC ON TUESDAY OCTOBER 25 2022.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

Monday, October 24, 2022

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SITRANG

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2022 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm SITRANG is currently located near 24.1 N 91.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). SITRANG is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Bangladesh
        probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Comilla (23.4 N, 91.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Dhaka (23.7 N, 90.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SITRANG

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2022 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SITRANG is currently located near 21.0 N 90.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). SITRANG is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bangladesh
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    India
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Myanmar
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dhaka (23.7 N, 90.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Comilla (23.4 N, 91.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Khulna (22.9 N, 89.6 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Barisal (22.7 N, 90.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Chittagong (22.3 N, 91.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Jessore (23.2 N, 89.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Shillong (25.6 N, 91.9 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Cox's Bazar (21.4 N, 92.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Kolkata (22.5 N, 88.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Dispur (26.1 N, 91.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).