[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
0544 UTC WED MAR 1 2023

...PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.5
* ORIGIN TIME 0536 UTC MAR 1 2023
* COORDINATES 4.8 SOUTH 149.6 EAST
* DEPTH 583 KM / 362 MILES
* LOCATION BISMARCK SEA


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.5 OCCURRED IN
THE BISMARCK SEA AT 0536 UTC ON WEDNESDAY MARCH 1 2023.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone JUDY

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Mar, 2023 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone JUDY is currently located near 18.2 S 168.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). JUDY is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. JUDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone JUDY

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Feb, 2023 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone JUDY is currently located near 17.0 S 168.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). JUDY is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. JUDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    New Caledonia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone JUDY

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Feb, 2023 12:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone JUDY is currently located near 15.5 S 168.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). JUDY is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. JUDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Tasmaori (14.9 S, 168.1 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone JUDY

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Feb, 2023 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone JUDY is currently located near 14.6 S 168.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). JUDY is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. JUDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tasmaori (14.9 S, 168.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Onetar (14.3 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm JUDY

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Feb, 2023 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm JUDY is currently located near 14.0 S 168.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). JUDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tasmaori (14.9 S, 168.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Onetar (14.3 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Foreas (13.9 S, 167.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm JUDY

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Feb, 2023 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm JUDY is currently located near 13.6 S 169.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). JUDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tasmaori (14.9 S, 168.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Onetar (14.3 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm JUDY

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Feb, 2023 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm JUDY is currently located near 13.5 S 169.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). JUDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Onetar (14.3 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Tasmaori (14.9 S, 168.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Foreas (13.9 S, 167.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm JUDY

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Feb, 2023 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm JUDY is currently located near 12.8 S 169.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). JUDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    New Caledonia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tasmaori (14.9 S, 168.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Onetar (14.3 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Foreas (13.9 S, 167.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Taktak (14.9 S, 166.6 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FIFTEEN

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Feb, 2023 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FIFTEEN is currently located near 12.6 S 171.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). FIFTEEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tasmaori (14.9 S, 168.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Foreas (13.9 S, 167.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Onetar (14.3 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
2132 UTC SAT FEB 25 2023

...PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.5
* ORIGIN TIME 2125 UTC FEB 25 2023
* COORDINATES 6.6 SOUTH 149.9 EAST
* DEPTH 65 KM / 41 MILES
* LOCATION NEW BRITAIN REGION PAPUA NEW GUINEA


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.5 OCCURRED IN
THE NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA AT 2125 UTC ON
SATURDAY FEBRUARY 25 2023.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FREDDY

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Feb, 2023 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm FREDDY is currently located near 22.6 S 35.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). FREDDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cheline (22.5 S, 35.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FREDDY

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Feb, 2023 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FREDDY is currently located near 22.8 S 37.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). FREDDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Inhambane (23.9 S, 35.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Cheline (22.5 S, 35.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FREDDY

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Feb, 2023 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FREDDY is currently located near 22.5 S 39.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). FREDDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Cheline (22.5 S, 35.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression FREDDY

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Feb, 2023 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression FREDDY is currently located near 22.1 S 41.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). FREDDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Inhassore (21.5 S, 35.1 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Cheline (22.5 S, 35.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FREDDY

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 22 Feb, 2023 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FREDDY is currently located near 22.4 S 43.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). FREDDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cheline (22.5 S, 35.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone FREDDY

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 22 Feb, 2023 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone FREDDY is currently located near 21.1 S 46.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). FREDDY is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FREDDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone FREDDY

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Feb, 2023 12:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone FREDDY is currently located near 20.7 S 49.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). FREDDY is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FREDDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone FREDDY

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Feb, 2023 0:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone FREDDY is currently located near 19.8 S 53.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). FREDDY is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FREDDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC FREDDY

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Feb, 2023 12:00 GMT

Very Intense TC FREDDY is currently located near 18.9 S 57.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). FREDDY is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FREDDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Reunion
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC FREDDY

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Feb, 2023 0:00 GMT

Very Intense TC FREDDY is currently located near 18.1 S 60.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 130 kts (150 mph). FREDDY is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FREDDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Reunion
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Nova Mambone (21.0 S, 35.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC FREDDY

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2023 12:00 GMT

Very Intense TC FREDDY is currently located near 17.4 S 64.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 130 kts (150 mph). FREDDY is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FREDDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Reunion
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC FREDDY

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2023 0:00 GMT

Very Intense TC FREDDY is currently located near 16.7 S 67.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 135 kts (155 mph). FREDDY is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FREDDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Reunion
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours
    Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours
    Morondava (20.3 S, 44.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone FREDDY

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 18 Feb, 2023 12:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone FREDDY is currently located near 16.2 S 69.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). FREDDY is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FREDDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Reunion
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC FREDDY

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 18 Feb, 2023 0:00 GMT

Very Intense TC FREDDY is currently located near 16.1 S 71.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). FREDDY is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FREDDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Reunion
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert (CORRECTION) - Very Intense TC FREDDY

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 Feb, 2023 12:00 GMT

Very Intense TC FREDDY is currently located near 15.8 S 73.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). FREDDY is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FREDDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
    Reunion
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC FREDDY

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 Feb, 2023 12:00 GMT

Very Intense TC FREDDY is currently located near 15.8 S 73.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). FREDDY is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FREDDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Reunion
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC FREDDY

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 Feb, 2023 0:00 GMT

Very Intense TC FREDDY is currently located near 15.4 S 76.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). FREDDY is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FREDDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Reunion
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Miandrivazo (19.4 S, 45.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).