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Saturday, September 30, 2023

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KOINU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2023 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KOINU is currently located near 16.4 N 130.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). KOINU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KOINU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2023 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KOINU is currently located near 15.7 N 131.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). KOINU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 120 hours
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 120 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 120 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Friday, September 29, 2023

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression KOINU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2023 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression KOINU is currently located near 15.4 N 132.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). KOINU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression KOINU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2023 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression KOINU is currently located near 15.5 N 133.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). KOINU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Saturday, September 23, 2023

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 24 Sep, 2023 3:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Depression OPHELIA is currently located near 37.1 N 77.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Fredericksburg (38.2 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2023 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OPHELIA is currently located near 36.8 N 77.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Hartford (41.5 N, 72.7 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours
    Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert (CORRECTION) - Tropical Storm OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2023 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OPHELIA is currently located near 36.2 N 77.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Hartford (41.5 N, 72.7 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2023 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OPHELIA is currently located near 36.2 N 77.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 30 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 30 hours
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 60% within 6 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2023 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OPHELIA is currently located near 35.6 N 77.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% within 9 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2023 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OPHELIA is currently located near 35.1 N 77.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% within 6 hours
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 18 hours
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% within 6 hours
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 18 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2023 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OPHELIA is currently located near 34.3 N 76.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% within 9 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 55% within 9 hours
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% within 9 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Friday, September 22, 2023

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2023 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OPHELIA is currently located near 33.6 N 76.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2023 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OPHELIA is currently located near 33.3 N 76.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 22 Sep, 2023 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OPHELIA is currently located near 32.9 N 76.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert (CORRECTION) - Tropical Storm OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 22 Sep, 2023 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OPHELIA is currently located near 32.7 N 76.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AL16

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 22 Sep, 2023 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm AL16 is currently located near 32.7 N 76.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). AL16 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 30 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 30 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 42 hours
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 42 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AL16

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 22 Sep, 2023 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm AL16 is currently located near 32.3 N 75.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). AL16 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AL16

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 22 Sep, 2023 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm AL16 is currently located near 31.3 N 75.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). AL16 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% in about 18 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 18 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 18 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 30 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 30 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 30 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 42 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AL16

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 22 Sep, 2023 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm AL16 is currently located near 29.7 N 75.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). AL16 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% in about 30 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 30 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 30 hours
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 30 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 30 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 30 hours
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 30 hours
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 30 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 30 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 30 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 30 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Thursday, September 21, 2023

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AL16

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 22 Sep, 2023 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm AL16 is currently located near 29.5 N 75.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). AL16 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL16

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 21 Sep, 2023 21:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL16 is currently located near 29.2 N 75.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL16 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 69 hours
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Hartford (41.5 N, 72.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Concord (43.2 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert (CORRECTION) - Tropical Depression AL16

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 21 Sep, 2023 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL16 is currently located near 29.0 N 75.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL16 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 72 hours
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 72 hours
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
    Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
    Hartford (41.5 N, 72.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
    Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Concord (43.2 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL16

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 21 Sep, 2023 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL16 is currently located near 29.0 N 75.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL16 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 42 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 42 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 42 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 42 hours
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 66 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 66 hours
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 42 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 42 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 66 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 42 hours
    Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 66 hours
    Hartford (41.5 N, 72.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 66 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 66 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 66 hours
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 66 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 30 hours
    Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 66 hours
    Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 90 hours
    Concord (43.2 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 90 hours
    Montpelier (44.3 N, 72.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 90 hours
    Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 90 hours
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 90 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL16

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 21 Sep, 2023 15:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL16 is currently located near 28.7 N 75.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL16 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours
    Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Hartford (41.5 N, 72.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
    Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
    Montpelier (44.3 N, 72.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
    Concord (43.2 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
    Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Sunday, September 17, 2023

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LEE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 17 Sep, 2023 15:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm LEE is currently located near 48.0 N 62.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). LEE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Canada
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    St. Pierre and Miquelon
        probability for TS is 55% within 9 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sydney (46.1 N, 60.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Grand Falls (48.6 N, 55.4 W)
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LEE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 17 Sep, 2023 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LEE is currently located near 47.3 N 63.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). LEE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Canada
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    St. Pierre and Miquelon
        probability for TS is 55% in about 18 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sydney (46.1 N, 60.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Grand Falls (48.6 N, 55.4 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 18 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert (CORRECTION) - Tropical Storm LEE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 17 Sep, 2023 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LEE is currently located near 46.5 N 63.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). LEE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Canada
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    St. Pierre and Miquelon
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sydney (46.1 N, 60.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Grand Falls (48.6 N, 55.4 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LEE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 17 Sep, 2023 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LEE is currently located near 46.5 N 63.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). LEE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Canada
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sydney (46.1 N, 60.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LEE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 17 Sep, 2023 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LEE is currently located near 45.9 N 64.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). LEE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Canada
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sydney (46.1 N, 60.1 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 18 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Saturday, September 16, 2023

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LEE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 17 Sep, 2023 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LEE is currently located near 45.3 N 65.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). LEE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Canada
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sydney (46.1 N, 60.1 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)
        probability for TS is 65% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LEE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 17 Sep, 2023 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LEE is currently located near 44.7 N 66.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). LEE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Canada
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 6 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 6 hours
    Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 6 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Bangor (44.5 N, 68.5 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sydney (46.1 N, 60.1 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 18 hours
    Grand Falls (48.6 N, 55.4 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 30 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LEE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 16 Sep, 2023 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LEE is currently located near 44.5 N 66.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). LEE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Canada
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sydney (46.1 N, 60.1 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Bangor (44.5 N, 68.5 W)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Grand Falls (48.6 N, 55.4 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).