Global Alert Monitor: October 2023

Tuesday, October 31, 2023

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
1239 UTC TUE OCT 31 2023

...PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.6
* ORIGIN TIME 1234 UTC OCT 31 2023
* COORDINATES 28.7 SOUTH 71.8 WEST
* DEPTH 20 KM / 12 MILES
* LOCATION NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL CHILE

EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.6 OCCURRED
NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL CHILE AT 1234 UTC ON TUESDAY
OCTOBER 31 2023.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.

NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

Wednesday, October 25, 2023

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression OTIS

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Oct, 2023 21:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Depression OTIS is currently located near 19.1 N 100.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). OTIS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 95% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane OTIS

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Oct, 2023 15:00 GMT

Hurricane OTIS is currently located near 18.2 N 100.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). OTIS is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OTIS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LOLA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Oct, 2023 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LOLA is currently located near 17.2 S 166.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). LOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane OTIS

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Oct, 2023 9:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane OTIS is currently located near 17.2 N 100.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). OTIS is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OTIS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Acapulco (17.0 N, 99.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone LOLA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Oct, 2023 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone LOLA is currently located near 17.1 S 167.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). LOLA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Tuesday, October 24, 2023

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane OTIS

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Oct, 2023 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane OTIS is currently located near 16.1 N 99.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 140 kts (161 mph). OTIS is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OTIS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Acapulco (17.0 N, 99.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone LOLA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Oct, 2023 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone LOLA is currently located near 16.2 S 167.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). LOLA is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane OTIS

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Oct, 2023 0:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane OTIS is currently located near 15.7 N 99.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). OTIS is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OTIS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 18 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 6 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Acapulco (17.0 N, 99.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 18 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 18 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane OTIS

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2023 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane OTIS is currently located near 15.3 N 99.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). OTIS is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OTIS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Acapulco (17.0 N, 99.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm HAMOON

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2023 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Severe Cyclonic Storm HAMOON is currently located near 21.6 N 92.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). HAMOON is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HAMOON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bangladesh
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Myanmar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    India
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cox's Bazar (21.4 N, 92.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Chittagong (22.3 N, 91.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone LOLA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2023 18:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone LOLA is currently located near 15.8 S 167.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). LOLA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Tasmaori (14.9 S, 168.1 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OTIS

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2023 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OTIS is currently located near 14.8 N 99.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). OTIS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Acapulco (17.0 N, 99.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane TAMMY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2023 15:00 GMT

Hurricane TAMMY is currently located near 24.2 N 62.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). TAMMY is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TAMMY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 117 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone LOLA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2023 12:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone LOLA is currently located near 15.6 S 168.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). LOLA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Tasmaori (14.9 S, 168.1 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm HAMOON

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2023 12:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm HAMOON is currently located near 20.8 N 91.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). HAMOON is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HAMOON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bangladesh
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Myanmar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cox's Bazar (21.4 N, 92.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Chittagong (22.3 N, 91.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OTIS

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2023 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OTIS is currently located near 14.2 N 98.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). OTIS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Acapulco (17.0 N, 99.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane TAMMY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2023 9:00 GMT

Hurricane TAMMY is currently located near 23.7 N 62.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). TAMMY is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TAMMY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 55% in about 117 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 117 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC LOLA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2023 6:00 GMT

Very Intense TC LOLA is currently located near 15.1 S 168.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). LOLA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Tasmaori (14.9 S, 168.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm HAMOON

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2023 6:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm HAMOON is currently located near 20.4 N 90.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). HAMOON is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HAMOON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bangladesh
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Myanmar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cox's Bazar (21.4 N, 92.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Chittagong (22.3 N, 91.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TEJ

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2023 6:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm TEJ is currently located near 15.7 N 51.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). TEJ is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for TS is 95% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Monday, October 23, 2023

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OTIS

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2023 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OTIS is currently located near 13.6 N 97.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). OTIS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Acapulco (17.0 N, 99.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane TAMMY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2023 3:00 GMT

Hurricane TAMMY is currently located near 22.9 N 63.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). TAMMY is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TAMMY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 60% in about 117 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 117 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TEJ

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2023 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TEJ is currently located near 15.6 N 52.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). TEJ is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC LOLA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2023 0:00 GMT

Very Intense TC LOLA is currently located near 14.5 S 169.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). LOLA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tasmaori (14.9 S, 168.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
    Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm HAMOON

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2023 0:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm HAMOON is currently located near 19.8 N 89.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). HAMOON is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HAMOON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bangladesh
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm TEJ

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2023 18:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm TEJ is currently located near 15.5 N 52.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). TEJ is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TEJ is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Damqawt (16.6 N, 52.9 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane TAMMY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2023 21:00 GMT

Hurricane TAMMY is currently located near 22.3 N 63.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). TAMMY is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TAMMY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 70% in about 117 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 117 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OTIS

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2023 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OTIS is currently located near 13.1 N 97.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). OTIS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Nicolas (16.4 N, 98.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 33 hours
    Acapulco (17.0 N, 99.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC LOLA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2023 18:00 GMT

Very Intense TC LOLA is currently located near 14.0 S 169.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). LOLA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tasmaori (14.9 S, 168.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Onetar (14.3 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Foreas (13.9 S, 167.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane TAMMY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2023 15:00 GMT

Hurricane TAMMY is currently located near 21.9 N 63.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). TAMMY is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TAMMY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression NORMA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2023 15:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Depression NORMA is currently located near 24.9 N 107.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). NORMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Culiacan (24.8 N, 107.4 W)
        probability for TS is 85% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC LOLA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2023 12:00 GMT

Very Intense TC LOLA is currently located near 13.5 S 169.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). LOLA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tasmaori (14.9 S, 168.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
    Taktak (14.9 S, 166.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm TEJ

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2023 12:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm TEJ is currently located near 15.3 N 52.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). TEJ is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TEJ is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Damqawt (16.6 N, 52.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane TAMMY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2023 9:00 GMT

Hurricane TAMMY is currently located near 21.4 N 64.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). TAMMY is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TAMMY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression NORMA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2023 9:00 GMT

Tropical Depression NORMA is currently located near 24.5 N 108.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). NORMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm TEJ

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2023 6:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm TEJ is currently located near 15.0 N 52.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). TEJ is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TEJ is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Damqawt (16.6 N, 52.9 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone LOLA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2023 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone LOLA is currently located near 13.2 S 169.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). LOLA is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tasmaori (14.9 S, 168.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Onetar (14.3 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Sunday, October 22, 2023

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NORMA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2023 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NORMA is currently located near 25.0 N 109.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). NORMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Los Mochis (25.8 N, 109.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Culiacan (24.8 N, 107.4 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm TEJ

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2023 0:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm TEJ is currently located near 14.3 N 53.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). TEJ is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TEJ is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone LOLA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2023 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone LOLA is currently located near 12.5 S 169.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). LOLA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tasmaori (14.9 S, 168.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Onetar (14.3 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NORMA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Oct, 2023 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NORMA is currently located near 24.9 N 109.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). NORMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Los Mochis (25.8 N, 109.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    La Paz (24.2 N, 110.3 W)
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    Culiacan (24.8 N, 107.4 W)
        probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours
    Don (26.5 N, 109.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane TAMMY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 22 Oct, 2023 21:00 GMT

Hurricane TAMMY is currently located near 19.9 N 63.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). TAMMY is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TAMMY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Anguilla
        probability for TS is 75% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

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Tuesday, October 31, 2023

Wednesday, October 25, 2023

Tuesday, October 24, 2023

Monday, October 23, 2023

Sunday, October 22, 2023