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Sunday, December 29, 2024

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SIX

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2024 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SIX is currently located near 17.4 S 177.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). SIX is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SIX

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2024 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SIX is currently located near 17.3 S 176.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). SIX is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
    Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Friday, December 27, 2024

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
1257 UTC FRI DEC 27 2024

....PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS - FROM JMA
--------------------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.7
* ORIGIN TIME 1247 UTC DEC 27 2024
* COORDINATES 46.8 NORTH 151.7 EAST
* DEPTH 158 KM / 98 MILES
* LOCATION KURIL ISLANDS


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.7 OCCURRED IN
THE KURIL ISLANDS AT 1247 UTC ON FRIDAY DECEMBER 27 2024.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

Sunday, December 22, 2024

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYEIGHT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Dec, 2024 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYEIGHT is currently located near 10.9 N 112.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). TWENTYEIGHT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYEIGHT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Dec, 2024 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYEIGHT is currently located near 10.4 N 113.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). TWENTYEIGHT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYEIGHT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Dec, 2024 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYEIGHT is currently located near 11.0 N 113.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 25kts (29 mph). TWENTYEIGHT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Monday, December 16, 2024

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC FINAL TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE

TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 3
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
0314 UTC TUE DEC 17 2024

....PTWC FINAL TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THE TSUNAMI FORECAST IS UNCHANGED IN THIS MESSAGE.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.3
* ORIGIN TIME 0147 UTC DEC 17 2024
* COORDINATES 17.7 SOUTH 167.8 EAST
* DEPTH 10 KM / 6 MILES
* LOCATION VANUATU


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.3 OCCURRED IN
THE VANUATU ISLANDS AT 0147 UTC ON TUESDAY DECEMBER 17 2024.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THE TSUNAMI THREAT FROM THIS
EARTHQUAKE HAS NOW PASSED.


TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST...UPDATED
---------------------------------

* THERE IS NO LONGER A TSUNAMI THREAT FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* REMAIN OBSERVANT AND EXERCISE NORMAL CAUTION NEAR THE SEA.
OTHERWISE... NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* MINOR SEA LEVEL FLUCTUATIONS MAY OCCUR IN SOME COASTAL AREAS
NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.


TSUNAMI OBSERVATIONS
--------------------

* THE FOLLOWING ARE TSUNAMI WAVE OBSERVATIONS FROM COASTAL
AND/OR DEEP-OCEAN SEA LEVEL GAUGES AT THE INDICATED
LOCATIONS. THE MAXIMUM TSUNAMI HEIGHT IS MEASURED WITH
RESPECT TO THE NORMAL TIDE LEVEL.

GAUGE TIME OF MAXIMUM WAVE
COORDINATES MEASURE TSUNAMI PERIOD
GAUGE LOCATION LAT LON (UTC) HEIGHT (MIN)
-------------------------------------------------------------
VANUATU 17.8S 168.3E 0215 0.25M/ 0.8FT 16
LENAKEL VU 19.5S 169.3E 0254 0.17M/ 0.5FT 06


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
NEW INFORMATION IS RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE

TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 2
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
0221 UTC TUE DEC 17 2024

....PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THE TSUNAMI FORECAST IS UPDATED IN THIS MESSAGE.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.4
* ORIGIN TIME 0147 UTC DEC 17 2024
* COORDINATES 17.7 SOUTH 167.8 EAST
* DEPTH 10 KM / 6 MILES
* LOCATION VANUATU


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.4 OCCURRED IN
THE VANUATU ISLANDS AT 0147 UTC ON TUESDAY DECEMBER 17 2024.

* TSUNAMI WAVES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... HAZARDOUS TSUNAMI WAVES ARE
FORECAST FOR SOME COASTS.


TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST...UPDATED
---------------------------------

* TSUNAMI WAVES REACHING 0.3 TO 1 METERS ABOVE THE TIDE LEVEL
ARE POSSIBLE FOR SOME COASTS OF

VANUATU.


* TSUNAMI WAVES ARE FORECAST TO BE LESS THAN 0.3 METERS ABOVE
THE TIDE LEVEL FOR THE COASTS OF

FIJI... KERMADEC ISLANDS... KIRIBATI... NEW CALEDONIA...
PAPUA NEW GUINEA... SOLOMON ISLANDS... TUVALU... AND
WALLIS AND FUTUNA.


* ACTUAL AMPLITUDES AT THE COAST MAY VARY FROM FORECAST
AMPLITUDES DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES IN THE FORECAST AND LOCAL
FEATURES. IN PARTICULAR MAXIMUM TSUNAMI AMPLITUDES ON ATOLLS
AND AT LOCATIONS WITH FRINGING OR BARRIER REEFS WILL LIKELY
BE MUCH SMALLER THAN THE FORECAST INDICATES.

* FOR OTHER AREAS COVERED BY THIS PRODUCT A FORECAST HAS NOT
YET BEEN COMPUTED. THE FORECAST WILL BE EXPANDED IF
NECESSARY IN SUBSEQUENT PRODUCTS.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* GOVERNMENT AGENCIES RESPONSIBLE FOR THREATENED COASTAL AREAS
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO INFORM AND INSTRUCT ANY COASTAL
POPULATIONS AT RISK IN ACCORDANCE WITH THEIR OWN
EVALUATION... PROCEDURES AND THE LEVEL OF THREAT.

* PERSONS LOCATED IN THREATENED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD STAY ALERT
FOR INFORMATION AND FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM NATIONAL AND
LOCAL AUTHORITIES.


ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL
--------------------------

* ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL -ETA- OF THE INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE
FOR PLACES WITHIN THREATENED REGIONS ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL
ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.

LOCATION REGION COORDINATES ETA(UTC)
------------------------------------------------------------
ANATOM ISLAND VANUATU 20.2S 169.9E 0230 12/17
ESPERITU SANTO VANUATU 15.1S 167.3E 0233 12/17


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES. THE TIME BETWEEN WAVE CRESTS
CAN VARY FROM 5 MINUTES TO AN HOUR. THE HAZARD MAY PERSIST
FOR MANY HOURS OR LONGER AFTER THE INITIAL WAVE.

* IMPACTS CAN VARY SIGNIFICANTLY FROM ONE SECTION OF COAST TO
THE NEXT DUE TO LOCAL BATHYMETRY AND THE SHAPE AND ELEVATION
OF THE SHORELINE.

* IMPACTS CAN ALSO VARY DEPENDING UPON THE STATE OF THE TIDE AT
THE TIME OF THE MAXIMUM TSUNAMI WAVES.

* PERSONS CAUGHT IN THE WATER OF A TSUNAMI MAY DROWN... BE
CRUSHED BY DEBRIS IN THE WATER... OR BE SWEPT OUT TO SEA.


TSUNAMI OBSERVATIONS
--------------------

* THE FOLLOWING ARE TSUNAMI WAVE OBSERVATIONS FROM COASTAL
AND/OR DEEP-OCEAN SEA LEVEL GAUGES AT THE INDICATED
LOCATIONS. THE MAXIMUM TSUNAMI HEIGHT IS MEASURED WITH
RESPECT TO THE NORMAL TIDE LEVEL.

GAUGE TIME OF MAXIMUM WAVE
COORDINATES MEASURE TSUNAMI PERIOD
GAUGE LOCATION LAT LON (UTC) HEIGHT (MIN)
-------------------------------------------------------------
VANUATU 17.8S 168.3E 0207 0.25M/ 0.8FT 16


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THE NEXT MESSAGE WILL BE ISSUED IN ONE HOUR... OR SOONER IF
THE SITUATION WARRANTS.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE

TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
0152 UTC TUE DEC 17 2024

....PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.4
* ORIGIN TIME 0147 UTC DEC 17 2024
* COORDINATES 17.7 SOUTH 167.8 EAST
* DEPTH 10 KM / 6 MILES
* LOCATION VANUATU


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.4 OCCURRED IN
THE VANUATU ISLANDS AT 0147 UTC ON TUESDAY DECEMBER 17 2024.

* BASED ON THE PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS... HAZARDOUS
TSUNAMI WAVES ARE POSSIBLE FOR COASTS LOCATED WITHIN 300 KM
OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER.


TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST
-----------------------

* HAZARDOUS TSUNAMI WAVES FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN 300 KM OF THE EPICENTER ALONG THE COASTS OF

VANUATU.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* GOVERNMENT AGENCIES RESPONSIBLE FOR THREATENED COASTAL AREAS
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO INFORM AND INSTRUCT ANY COASTAL
POPULATIONS AT RISK IN ACCORDANCE WITH THEIR OWN
EVALUATION... PROCEDURES AND THE LEVEL OF THREAT.

* PERSONS LOCATED IN THREATENED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD STAY ALERT
FOR INFORMATION AND FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM NATIONAL AND
LOCAL AUTHORITIES.


ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL
--------------------------

* ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL -ETA- OF THE INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE
FOR PLACES WITH A POTENTIAL TSUNAMI THREAT. ACTUAL ARRIVAL
TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.

LOCATION REGION COORDINATES ETA(UTC)
------------------------------------------------------------
ESPERITU SANTO VANUATU 15.1S 167.3E 0233 12/17


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES. THE TIME BETWEEN WAVE CRESTS
CAN VARY FROM 5 MINUTES TO AN HOUR. THE HAZARD MAY PERSIST
FOR MANY HOURS OR LONGER AFTER THE INITIAL WAVE.

* IMPACTS CAN VARY SIGNIFICANTLY FROM ONE SECTION OF COAST TO
THE NEXT DUE TO LOCAL BATHYMETRY AND THE SHAPE AND ELEVATION
OF THE SHORELINE.

* IMPACTS CAN ALSO VARY DEPENDING UPON THE STATE OF THE TIDE AT
THE TIME OF THE MAXIMUM TSUNAMI WAVES.

* PERSONS CAUGHT IN THE WATER OF A TSUNAMI MAY DROWN... BE
CRUSHED BY DEBRIS IN THE WATER... OR BE SWEPT OUT TO SEA.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THE NEXT MESSAGE WILL BE ISSUED IN ONE HOUR... OR SOONER IF
THE SITUATION WARRANTS.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

Saturday, December 14, 2024

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC CHIDO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2024 12:00 GMT

Very Intense TC CHIDO is currently located near 13.1 S 44.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). CHIDO is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHIDO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Comoros
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Mayotte
        probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    Memba (14.2 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
    Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC CHIDO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2024 6:00 GMT

Very Intense TC CHIDO is currently located near 12.6 S 45.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). CHIDO is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHIDO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mayotte
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Comoros
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Memba (14.2 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
    Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

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Friday, December 13, 2024

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC CHIDO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2024 0:00 GMT

Very Intense TC CHIDO is currently located near 12.1 S 46.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). CHIDO is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHIDO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mayotte
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Comoros
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Memba (14.2 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Moroni (11.7 S, 43.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Mocambique (15.0 S, 40.7 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone CHIDO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Dec, 2024 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone CHIDO is currently located near 11.9 S 47.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). CHIDO is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHIDO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mayotte
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Comoros
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Moroni (11.7 S, 43.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Hell-Ville (13.3 S, 48.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    Memba (14.2 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone CHIDO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Dec, 2024 12:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone CHIDO is currently located near 11.6 S 48.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). CHIDO is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHIDO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Mayotte
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Comoros
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Ambilobe (13.0 S, 49.1 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Hell-Ville (13.3 S, 48.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
    Memba (14.2 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
    Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone CHIDO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Dec, 2024 6:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone CHIDO is currently located near 11.1 S 49.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). CHIDO is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHIDO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Comoros
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Mayotte
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Moroni (11.7 S, 43.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
    Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
    Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Thursday, December 12, 2024

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC CHIDO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Dec, 2024 0:00 GMT

Very Intense TC CHIDO is currently located near 11.1 S 51.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). CHIDO is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHIDO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mayotte
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Comoros
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Moroni (11.7 S, 43.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
    Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Memba (14.2 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC CHIDO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Dec, 2024 18:00 GMT

Very Intense TC CHIDO is currently located near 10.9 S 52.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). CHIDO is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHIDO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mayotte
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Comoros
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Memba (14.2 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC CHIDO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Dec, 2024 6:00 GMT

Very Intense TC CHIDO is currently located near 10.6 S 54.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 135 kts (155 mph). CHIDO is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHIDO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Mayotte
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Ambilobe (13.0 S, 49.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
    Hell-Ville (13.3 S, 48.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Wednesday, December 11, 2024

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC CHIDO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 11 Dec, 2024 18:00 GMT

Very Intense TC CHIDO is currently located near 10.4 S 56.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). CHIDO is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHIDO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone CHIDO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 11 Dec, 2024 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone CHIDO is currently located near 10.5 S 58.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). CHIDO is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHIDO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Ambilobe (13.0 S, 49.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Hell-Ville (13.3 S, 48.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Tuesday, December 10, 2024

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CHIDO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Dec, 2024 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CHIDO is currently located near 10.6 S 59.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). CHIDO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

Sunday, December 8, 2024

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
2003 UTC SUN DEC 8 2024

....PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.5
* ORIGIN TIME 1957 UTC DEC 8 2024
* COORDINATES 50.8 NORTH 177.3 WEST
* DEPTH 35 KM / 22 MILES
* LOCATION ANDREANOF ISLANDS ALEUTIAN IS. ALASKA


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.5 OCCURRED IN
THE ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS., ALASKA AT 1957 UTC ON
SUNDAY DECEMBER 8 2024.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

Thursday, December 5, 2024

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC FINAL TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE

TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 2
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
1927 UTC THU DEC 5 2024

....PTWC FINAL TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THE TSUNAMI FORECAST IS UNCHANGED IN THIS MESSAGE.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.0
* ORIGIN TIME 1844 UTC DEC 5 2024
* COORDINATES 40.3 NORTH 124.7 WEST
* DEPTH 13 KM / 8 MILES
* LOCATION NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA


EVALUATION
----------
* NOTE REVISED MAGNITUDE

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.0 OCCURRED
NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AT 1844 UTC ON
THURSDAY DECEMBER 5 2024.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THE TSUNAMI THREAT FROM THIS
EARTHQUAKE HAS NOW PASSED.


TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST...UPDATED
---------------------------------

* THERE IS NO LONGER A TSUNAMI THREAT FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* REMAIN OBSERVANT AND EXERCISE NORMAL CAUTION NEAR THE SEA.
OTHERWISE... NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
NEW INFORMATION IS RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE

TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
1852 UTC THU DEC 5 2024

....PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.3
* ORIGIN TIME 1844 UTC DEC 5 2024
* COORDINATES 40.3 NORTH 124.7 WEST
* DEPTH 13 KM / 8 MILES
* LOCATION NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.3 OCCURRED
NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AT 1844 UTC ON
THURSDAY DECEMBER 5 2024.

* BASED ON THE PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS... HAZARDOUS
TSUNAMI WAVES ARE POSSIBLE FOR COASTS LOCATED WITHIN 300 KM
OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER.


TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST
-----------------------

* HAZARDOUS TSUNAMI WAVES FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN 300 KM OF THE EPICENTER ALONG THE COASTS OF

NO AREAS COVERED BY THIS MESSAGE APPEAR TO BE IMMEDIATELY
THREATENED. HOWEVER... THE SITUATION IS STILL UNDER
INVESTIGATION. THIS THREAT EVALUATION WILL BE UPDATED AS
SOON AS FURTHER INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* GOVERNMENT AGENCIES RESPONSIBLE FOR THREATENED COASTAL AREAS
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO INFORM AND INSTRUCT ANY COASTAL
POPULATIONS AT RISK IN ACCORDANCE WITH THEIR OWN
EVALUATION... PROCEDURES AND THE LEVEL OF THREAT.

* PERSONS LOCATED IN THREATENED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD STAY ALERT
FOR INFORMATION AND FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM NATIONAL AND
LOCAL AUTHORITIES.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES. THE TIME BETWEEN WAVE CRESTS
CAN VARY FROM 5 MINUTES TO AN HOUR. THE HAZARD MAY PERSIST
FOR MANY HOURS OR LONGER AFTER THE INITIAL WAVE.

* IMPACTS CAN VARY SIGNIFICANTLY FROM ONE SECTION OF COAST TO
THE NEXT DUE TO LOCAL BATHYMETRY AND THE SHAPE AND ELEVATION
OF THE SHORELINE.

* IMPACTS CAN ALSO VARY DEPENDING UPON THE STATE OF THE TIDE AT
THE TIME OF THE MAXIMUM TSUNAMI WAVES.

* PERSONS CAUGHT IN THE WATER OF A TSUNAMI MAY DROWN... BE
CRUSHED BY DEBRIS IN THE WATER... OR BE SWEPT OUT TO SEA.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THE NEXT MESSAGE WILL BE ISSUED IN ONE HOUR... OR SOONER IF
THE SITUATION WARRANTS.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

Sunday, December 1, 2024

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FENGAL

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 1 Dec, 2024 6:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm FENGAL is currently located near 12.1 N 79.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). FENGAL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).