TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ELVIS

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Jan, 2025 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ELVIS is currently located near 25.0 S 42.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). ELVIS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone SEAN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Jan, 2025 6:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone SEAN is currently located near 21.6 S 111.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). SEAN is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SEAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone SEAN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Jan, 2025 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone SEAN is currently located near 21.0 S 112.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). SEAN is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SEAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone SEAN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jan, 2025 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone SEAN is currently located near 20.5 S 113.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). SEAN is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SEAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone SEAN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jan, 2025 12:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone SEAN is currently located near 20.2 S 114.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). SEAN is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SEAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SEAN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jan, 2025 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SEAN is currently located near 19.6 S 115.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). SEAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TEN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 18 Jan, 2025 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TEN is currently located near 19.3 S 119.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). TEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
    Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 15 Jan, 2025 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI is currently located near 25.7 S 42.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). DIKELEDI is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DIKELEDI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 15 Jan, 2025 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI is currently located near 21.7 S 41.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). DIKELEDI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DIKELEDI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm DIKELEDI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 14 Jan, 2025 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm DIKELEDI is currently located near 16.7 S 39.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). DIKELEDI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Jan, 2025 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI is currently located near 15.5 S 40.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). DIKELEDI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DIKELEDI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% currently
        probability for TS is 85% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Angoche (16.2 S, 40.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Mogincual (15.6 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% currently
        probability for TS is 80% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
1232 UTC MON JAN 13 2025

....PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS - FROM JMA
--------------------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.9
* ORIGIN TIME 1220 UTC JAN 13 2025
* COORDINATES 31.8 NORTH 131.6 EAST
* DEPTH 32 KM / 20 MILES
* LOCATION KYUSHU JAPAN


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.9 OCCURRED IN
KYUSHU, JAPAN AT 1220 UTC ON MONDAY JANUARY 13 2025.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Jan, 2025 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI is currently located near 14.8 S 41.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). DIKELEDI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DIKELEDI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mocambique (15.0 S, 40.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Mogincual (15.6 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Angoche (16.2 S, 40.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Memba (14.2 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    Moma (17.0 S, 39.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Jan, 2025 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI is currently located near 14.4 S 43.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). DIKELEDI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DIKELEDI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 10% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mogincual (15.6 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Angoche (16.2 S, 40.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Mocambique (15.0 S, 40.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Moma (17.0 S, 39.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Jan, 2025 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI is currently located near 13.6 S 46.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). DIKELEDI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DIKELEDI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mayotte
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
    Mogincual (15.6 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
    Angoche (16.2 S, 40.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 11 Jan, 2025 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI is currently located near 12.9 S 49.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). DIKELEDI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DIKELEDI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ambilobe (13.0 S, 49.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Hell-Ville (13.3 S, 48.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Analalava (14.7 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 11 Jan, 2025 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI is currently located near 12.7 S 51.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). DIKELEDI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DIKELEDI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mayotte
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ambilobe (13.0 S, 49.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Hell-Ville (13.3 S, 48.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm DIKELEDI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Jan, 2025 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm DIKELEDI is currently located near 13.3 S 54.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). DIKELEDI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ambilobe (13.0 S, 49.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Hell-Ville (13.3 S, 48.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Besalampy (16.7 S, 44.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm DIKELEDI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Jan, 2025 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm DIKELEDI is currently located near 13.5 S 57.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). DIKELEDI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Ambilobe (13.0 S, 49.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm DIKELEDI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Jan, 2025 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm DIKELEDI is currently located near 13.6 S 60.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). DIKELEDI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).